NY-17 remains a competitive Hudson Valley swing district where Democrat Cait Conley faces incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 50 percent in a crowded field, while Lawler ran unopposed on the Republican side. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a narrow lead and another showing Conley ahead by a similar margin. Traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 67 percent, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 presidential lean toward Democrats, Lawler’s modest prior margins, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. The race carries toss-up ratings from major forecasters, with fundraising, turnout in Rockland and Putnam counties, and national conditions likely to influence the final result.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
29%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,001 Vol.
67%
Republican Party
$4,893 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-17 remains a competitive Hudson Valley swing district where Democrat Cait Conley faces incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 50 percent in a crowded field, while Lawler ran unopposed on the Republican side. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a narrow lead and another showing Conley ahead by a similar margin. Traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 67 percent, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 presidential lean toward Democrats, Lawler’s modest prior margins, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. The race carries toss-up ratings from major forecasters, with fundraising, turnout in Rockland and Putnam counties, and national conditions likely to influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$8,894Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-17 remains a competitive Hudson Valley swing district where Democrat Cait Conley faces incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 50 percent in a crowded field, while Lawler ran unopposed on the Republican side. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a narrow lead and another showing Conley ahead by a similar margin. Traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 67 percent, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 presidential lean toward Democrats, Lawler’s modest prior margins, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. The race carries toss-up ratings from major forecasters, with fundraising, turnout in Rockland and Putnam counties, and national conditions likely to influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,894Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-17 remains a competitive Hudson Valley swing district where Democrat Cait Conley faces incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November 2026 general election. Conley secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 50 percent in a crowded field, while Lawler ran unopposed on the Republican side. Early general-election polling shows a tight contest, with one survey giving Lawler a narrow lead and another showing Conley ahead by a similar margin. Traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 67 percent, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 presidential lean toward Democrats, Lawler’s modest prior margins, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. The race carries toss-up ratings from major forecasters, with fundraising, turnout in Rockland and Putnam counties, and national conditions likely to influence the final result.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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