Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and gives the company a concrete head start on regulatory review that could enable a fall 2026 debut. OpenAI continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has discussed a possible September or fourth-quarter window, yet it has not filed and faces execution risks tied to heavy compute spending and internal governance shifts. Traders view the first-mover advantage in accessing public capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive amid the broader large language model competition, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and standard SEC timelines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
$101,119 Vol.
$101,119 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$101,119 Vol.
$101,119 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and gives the company a concrete head start on regulatory review that could enable a fall 2026 debut. OpenAI continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has discussed a possible September or fourth-quarter window, yet it has not filed and faces execution risks tied to heavy compute spending and internal governance shifts. Traders view the first-mover advantage in accessing public capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive amid the broader large language model competition, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and standard SEC timelines.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$101,119Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and gives the company a concrete head start on regulatory review that could enable a fall 2026 debut. OpenAI continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has discussed a possible September or fourth-quarter window, yet it has not filed and faces execution risks tied to heavy compute spending and internal governance shifts. Traders view the first-mover advantage in accessing public capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive amid the broader large language model competition, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and standard SEC timelines.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$101,119Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion funding round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and gives the company a concrete head start on regulatory review that could enable a fall 2026 debut. OpenAI continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has discussed a possible September or fourth-quarter window, yet it has not filed and faces execution risks tied to heavy compute spending and internal governance shifts. Traders view the first-mover advantage in accessing public capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive amid the broader large language model competition, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and standard SEC timelines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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