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Pagtatanggol mga prediksiyon at odds

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

3%

$32.1K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

$271K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

95%

↑$100B

$27.8K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by July 31?

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by July 31?

91%

↑$100B

$1.1K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

26%

Anduril

$91 Vol.

$963 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

31%

December 31

$780K Vol.

$193K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

85%

July 31

$83.9K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

14%

$15.6K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

14%

$172K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

12%

December 31

$191K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 6 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

9%

June 30

$152K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

6

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

28%

$309K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

$111K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

6%

$8.4K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

28%

$65 Vol.

$817 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?

Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?

55%

$0 Vol.

$484 Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Pagtatanggol.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 16 aktibong markets para sa Pagtatanggol na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $2.2M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "US announces blockade on Iran by...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "US announces blockade on Iran by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 31% na tsansa sa December 31. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Pagtatanggol predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.