Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$255-$260 46%
$275-$280 46%
$240-$245 46%
$245-$250 46%
<$240
45%
$240-$245
46%
$245-$250
46%
$250-$255
43%
$255-$260
46%
$260-$265
45%
$265-$270
46%
$270-$275
45%
$275-$280
46%
$280-$285
44%
>$285
44%
$255-$260 46%
$275-$280 46%
$240-$245 46%
$245-$250 46%
<$240
45%
$240-$245
46%
$245-$250
46%
$250-$255
43%
$255-$260
46%
$260-$265
45%
$265-$270
46%
$270-$275
45%
$275-$280
46%
$280-$285
44%
>$285
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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