Trader consensus favors "No disruption" at 70.5% implied probability for an AWS service interruption classified as "disrupted" severity by April 30, driven by the absence of new events on the AWS Health Dashboard since March's regional outages in Middle East (Bahrain me-south-1 and UAE me-central-1) availability zones, caused by Iranian drone and missile strikes damaging data centers and affecting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB. Those incidents, resolved via traffic rerouting and physical repairs without global impact, underscore AWS's multi-region redundancy and rapid mitigation, bolstering confidence in core infrastructure stability. Ongoing geopolitical tensions pose tail risks, but no fresh catalysts in the past week signal escalation, with traders eyeing dashboard updates and conflict de-escalation as key resolution factors.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus favors "No disruption" at 70.5% implied probability for an AWS service interruption classified as "disrupted" severity by April 30, driven by the absence of new events on the AWS Health Dashboard since March's regional outages in Middle East (Bahrain me-south-1 and UAE me-central-1) availability zones, caused by Iranian drone and missile strikes damaging data centers and affecting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB. Those incidents, resolved via traffic rerouting and physical repairs without global impact, underscore AWS's multi-region redundancy and rapid mitigation, bolstering confidence in core infrastructure stability. Ongoing geopolitical tensions pose tail risks, but no fresh catalysts in the past week signal escalation, with traders eyeing dashboard updates and conflict de-escalation as key resolution factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Hacim
$5,528Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus favors "No disruption" at 70.5% implied probability for an AWS service interruption classified as "disrupted" severity by April 30, driven by the absence of new events on the AWS Health Dashboard since March's regional outages in Middle East (Bahrain me-south-1 and UAE me-central-1) availability zones, caused by Iranian drone and missile strikes damaging data centers and affecting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB. Those incidents, resolved via traffic rerouting and physical repairs without global impact, underscore AWS's multi-region redundancy and rapid mitigation, bolstering confidence in core infrastructure stability. Ongoing geopolitical tensions pose tail risks, but no fresh catalysts in the past week signal escalation, with traders eyeing dashboard updates and conflict de-escalation as key resolution factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Hacim
$5,528Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No disruption" at 70.5% implied probability for an AWS service interruption classified as "disrupted" severity by April 30, driven by the absence of new events on the AWS Health Dashboard since March's regional outages in Middle East (Bahrain me-south-1 and UAE me-central-1) availability zones, caused by Iranian drone and missile strikes damaging data centers and affecting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB. Those incidents, resolved via traffic rerouting and physical repairs without global impact, underscore AWS's multi-region redundancy and rapid mitigation, bolstering confidence in core infrastructure stability. Ongoing geopolitical tensions pose tail risks, but no fresh catalysts in the past week signal escalation, with traders eyeing dashboard updates and conflict de-escalation as key resolution factors.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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