Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to hold its benchmark overnight interbank rate at 6.75% in its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after the surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid a split 3-2 board vote. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 4.6% year-over-year—its 19-month high and above the 3% target—driven by food and energy pressures, with core inflation also rising to 4.45%, prompting minutes released early April to signal restraint despite resilient consumption supporting upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts around 1.6-1.8%. A further 25 basis point decrease (25.5%) remains viable if data softens, while hikes (0.6%) face steep barriers given the ongoing disinflation trajectory.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMeksika Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı
Meksika Merkez Bankası'nın Mayıs Ayındaki Kararı
Değişiklik yok 74%
İndirim 26%
Artış <1%
$53,935 Hac.
$53,935 Hac.
7 May 2026
İndirim
26%
Değişiklik yok
74%
Artış
1%
Değişiklik yok 74%
İndirim 26%
Artış <1%
$53,935 Hac.
$53,935 Hac.
7 May 2026
İndirim
$18,087 Hac.
26%
Değişiklik yok
$15,723 Hac.
74%
Artış
$20,124 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to hold its benchmark overnight interbank rate at 6.75% in its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after the surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid a split 3-2 board vote. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 4.6% year-over-year—its 19-month high and above the 3% target—driven by food and energy pressures, with core inflation also rising to 4.45%, prompting minutes released early April to signal restraint despite resilient consumption supporting upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts around 1.6-1.8%. A further 25 basis point decrease (25.5%) remains viable if data softens, while hikes (0.6%) face steep barriers given the ongoing disinflation trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
Hacim
$53,935Bitiş Tarihi
7 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to hold its benchmark overnight interbank rate at 6.75% in its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after the surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid a split 3-2 board vote. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 4.6% year-over-year—its 19-month high and above the 3% target—driven by food and energy pressures, with core inflation also rising to 4.45%, prompting minutes released early April to signal restraint despite resilient consumption supporting upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts around 1.6-1.8%. A further 25 basis point decrease (25.5%) remains viable if data softens, while hikes (0.6%) face steep barriers given the ongoing disinflation trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$53,935Bitiş Tarihi
7 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to hold its benchmark overnight interbank rate at 6.75% in its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after the surprise 25 basis point cut to that level on March 26 amid a split 3-2 board vote. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 4.6% year-over-year—its 19-month high and above the 3% target—driven by food and energy pressures, with core inflation also rising to 4.45%, prompting minutes released early April to signal restraint despite resilient consumption supporting upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts around 1.6-1.8%. A further 25 basis point decrease (25.5%) remains viable if data softens, while hikes (0.6%) face steep barriers given the ongoing disinflation trajectory.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular