Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—a divided 3-2 Governing Board vote—resumed easing despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core measures holding near 4.45%, well above the 3% target. Polymarket traders price a 59% implied probability for no change at the June 25 meeting, reflecting caution amid persistent upside risks from geopolitical tensions and food prices, as highlighted in April 9 minutes emphasizing a data-dependent path. A 39% chance of decrease anticipates transitory shocks and economic slack allowing one more cut, while 32.5% for an increase hedges sticky inflation; key catalysts include the May 7 decision and April CPI data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 58%
Decrease 0
Increase 0
YENİ
YENİ
25 Haz 2026
Decrease
39%
No change
58%
Increase
34%
No change 58%
Decrease 0
Increase 0
YENİ
YENİ
25 Haz 2026
Decrease
$13 Hac.
39%
No change
$0 Hac.
58%
Increase
$142 Hac.
34%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—a divided 3-2 Governing Board vote—resumed easing despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core measures holding near 4.45%, well above the 3% target. Polymarket traders price a 59% implied probability for no change at the June 25 meeting, reflecting caution amid persistent upside risks from geopolitical tensions and food prices, as highlighted in April 9 minutes emphasizing a data-dependent path. A 39% chance of decrease anticipates transitory shocks and economic slack allowing one more cut, while 32.5% for an increase hedges sticky inflation; key catalysts include the May 7 decision and April CPI data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Hacim
$155Bitiş Tarihi
25 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—a divided 3-2 Governing Board vote—resumed easing despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core measures holding near 4.45%, well above the 3% target. Polymarket traders price a 59% implied probability for no change at the June 25 meeting, reflecting caution amid persistent upside risks from geopolitical tensions and food prices, as highlighted in April 9 minutes emphasizing a data-dependent path. A 39% chance of decrease anticipates transitory shocks and economic slack allowing one more cut, while 32.5% for an increase hedges sticky inflation; key catalysts include the May 7 decision and April CPI data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$155Bitiş Tarihi
25 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Banxico's surprise 25 basis point rate cut to 6.75% on March 26—a divided 3-2 Governing Board vote—resumed easing despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March from 4.02% in February, with core measures holding near 4.45%, well above the 3% target. Polymarket traders price a 59% implied probability for no change at the June 25 meeting, reflecting caution amid persistent upside risks from geopolitical tensions and food prices, as highlighted in April 9 minutes emphasizing a data-dependent path. A 39% chance of decrease anticipates transitory shocks and economic slack allowing one more cut, while 32.5% for an increase hedges sticky inflation; key catalysts include the May 7 decision and April CPI data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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