Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 17-18 Copom meeting, driven by the March 18 decision to initiate monetary easing with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% from 15.00%—the first reduction since May 2024—amid projections for inflation convergence to 3.6% by late 2026. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% annually from February's 3.81%, fueled by fuel prices, Focus survey expectations hold at 4.1% for full-year 2026, above the 3% target midpoint, yet traders anticipate sustained disinflation supported by resilient GDP growth around 2%. Upside risks from global oil shocks temper hikes at just 3%, with the May 6-7 Copom gathering key for forward guidance.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBrezilya Merkez Bankası'nın Haziran'daki kararı mı?
Brezilya Merkez Bankası'nın Haziran'daki kararı mı?
Azaltma 80%
Değişiklik Yok 12%
Artış 3.0%
$20,432 Hac.
$20,432 Hac.
16 Haz 2026
Artış
3%
Değişiklik Yok
12%
Azaltma
83%
Azaltma 80%
Değişiklik Yok 12%
Artış 3.0%
$20,432 Hac.
$20,432 Hac.
16 Haz 2026
Artış
$11,418 Hac.
3%
Değişiklik Yok
$3,565 Hac.
12%
Azaltma
$5,449 Hac.
83%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 17-18 Copom meeting, driven by the March 18 decision to initiate monetary easing with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% from 15.00%—the first reduction since May 2024—amid projections for inflation convergence to 3.6% by late 2026. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% annually from February's 3.81%, fueled by fuel prices, Focus survey expectations hold at 4.1% for full-year 2026, above the 3% target midpoint, yet traders anticipate sustained disinflation supported by resilient GDP growth around 2%. Upside risks from global oil shocks temper hikes at just 3%, with the May 6-7 Copom gathering key for forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Hacim
$20,432Bitiş Tarihi
16 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 17-18 Copom meeting, driven by the March 18 decision to initiate monetary easing with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% from 15.00%—the first reduction since May 2024—amid projections for inflation convergence to 3.6% by late 2026. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% annually from February's 3.81%, fueled by fuel prices, Focus survey expectations hold at 4.1% for full-year 2026, above the 3% target midpoint, yet traders anticipate sustained disinflation supported by resilient GDP growth around 2%. Upside risks from global oil shocks temper hikes at just 3%, with the May 6-7 Copom gathering key for forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$20,432Bitiş Tarihi
16 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 17-18 Copom meeting, driven by the March 18 decision to initiate monetary easing with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% from 15.00%—the first reduction since May 2024—amid projections for inflation convergence to 3.6% by late 2026. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% annually from February's 3.81%, fueled by fuel prices, Focus survey expectations hold at 4.1% for full-year 2026, above the 3% target midpoint, yet traders anticipate sustained disinflation supported by resilient GDP growth around 2%. Upside risks from global oil shocks temper hikes at just 3%, with the May 6-7 Copom gathering key for forward guidance.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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