Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59.5% implied probability to April U.S. retail dozen egg prices landing in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from diminished highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks—down 45% year-over-year with only 20.6 million birds affected thus far in 2026. The USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reported national wholesale loose large shell egg prices at 21–25 cents per dozen amid light demand and heavy inventories, pressuring retail averages toward $2.35 (March benchmark) while featured grocery prices averaged $1.70. March CPI showed eggs declining 3.4%, reinforcing the downward trajectory from 2025 peaks. Upcoming April CPI (early May release) and final USDA retail scans could confirm or adjust this positioning before month-end resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$2.25–2.50 60%
$2.00–2.25 24%
$2.50–2.75 9%
$1.75–2.00 5%
YENİ
YENİ
12 May 2026
<$1.75
3%
$1.75–2.00
5%
$2.00–2.25
24%
$2.25–2.50
60%
$2.50–2.75
9%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
2%
$3.25–3.50
1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
≥$3.75
2%
$2.25–2.50 60%
$2.00–2.25 24%
$2.50–2.75 9%
$1.75–2.00 5%
YENİ
YENİ
12 May 2026
<$1.75
$137 Hac.
3%
$1.75–2.00
$118 Hac.
5%
$2.00–2.25
$381 Hac.
24%
$2.25–2.50
$987 Hac.
60%
$2.50–2.75
$328 Hac.
9%
$2.75–3.00
$118 Hac.
4%
$3.00–3.25
$372 Hac.
2%
$3.25–3.50
$106 Hac.
1%
$3.50–3.75
$132 Hac.
1%
≥$3.75
$106 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59.5% implied probability to April U.S. retail dozen egg prices landing in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from diminished highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks—down 45% year-over-year with only 20.6 million birds affected thus far in 2026. The USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reported national wholesale loose large shell egg prices at 21–25 cents per dozen amid light demand and heavy inventories, pressuring retail averages toward $2.35 (March benchmark) while featured grocery prices averaged $1.70. March CPI showed eggs declining 3.4%, reinforcing the downward trajectory from 2025 peaks. Upcoming April CPI (early May release) and final USDA retail scans could confirm or adjust this positioning before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Hacim
$2,783Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59.5% implied probability to April U.S. retail dozen egg prices landing in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from diminished highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks—down 45% year-over-year with only 20.6 million birds affected thus far in 2026. The USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reported national wholesale loose large shell egg prices at 21–25 cents per dozen amid light demand and heavy inventories, pressuring retail averages toward $2.35 (March benchmark) while featured grocery prices averaged $1.70. March CPI showed eggs declining 3.4%, reinforcing the downward trajectory from 2025 peaks. Upcoming April CPI (early May release) and final USDA retail scans could confirm or adjust this positioning before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Hacim
$2,783Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59.5% implied probability to April U.S. retail dozen egg prices landing in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from diminished highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks—down 45% year-over-year with only 20.6 million birds affected thus far in 2026. The USDA's April 10 Egg Markets Overview reported national wholesale loose large shell egg prices at 21–25 cents per dozen amid light demand and heavy inventories, pressuring retail averages toward $2.35 (March benchmark) while featured grocery prices averaged $1.70. March CPI showed eggs declining 3.4%, reinforcing the downward trajectory from 2025 peaks. Upcoming April CPI (early May release) and final USDA retail scans could confirm or adjust this positioning before month-end resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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