Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to $30 billion—eclipsing OpenAI's estimated $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G round valued it at $380 billion post-money, but recent VC offers exceeding $800 billion signal rapid re-rating, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its $852 billion March valuation amid a strategic pivot and secondary market discounts to $846 billion. Key catalysts include potential new funding closes, IPO timelines, and comparative revenue trajectories through 2026.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to $30 billion—eclipsing OpenAI's estimated $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G round valued it at $380 billion post-money, but recent VC offers exceeding $800 billion signal rapid re-rating, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its $852 billion March valuation amid a strategic pivot and secondary market discounts to $846 billion. Key catalysts include potential new funding closes, IPO timelines, and comparative revenue trajectories through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Hacim
$86Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to $30 billion—eclipsing OpenAI's estimated $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G round valued it at $380 billion post-money, but recent VC offers exceeding $800 billion signal rapid re-rating, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its $852 billion March valuation amid a strategic pivot and secondary market discounts to $846 billion. Key catalysts include potential new funding closes, IPO timelines, and comparative revenue trajectories through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$86Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to $30 billion—eclipsing OpenAI's estimated $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G round valued it at $380 billion post-money, but recent VC offers exceeding $800 billion signal rapid re-rating, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its $852 billion March valuation amid a strategic pivot and secondary market discounts to $846 billion. Key catalysts include potential new funding closes, IPO timelines, and comparative revenue trajectories through 2026.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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