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Teknoloji·Büyük Teknoloji

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Market icon
Teknoloji·Büyük Teknoloji

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Nis 17

Nis 17

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 83.9%

gpt-5.4-high 1.1%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 1.0%

claude-opus-4-6 <1%

Polymarket

$17,668 Hac.

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 83.9%

gpt-5.4-high 1.1%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 1.0%

claude-opus-4-6 <1%

Polymarket

$17,668 Hac.

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$13,449 Hac.

84%

gpt-5.4-high

$500 Hac.

1%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

$325 Hac.

1%

claude-opus-4-6

$1,427 Hac.

1%

grok-4.20-beta1

$347 Hac.

1%

muse-spark

$216 Hac.

1%

glm-5.1

$66 Hac.

1%

gemini-3-flash

$168 Hac.

<1%

dola-seed-2.0-preview

$218 Hac.

<1%

gemini-3-pro

$143 Hac.

<1%

gemini-2.5-pro

$229 Hac.

<1%

kimi-k2.5-thinking

$275 Hac.

<1%

qwen3.5-max-preview

$306 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.6% implied probability to claude-opus-4-6-thinking topping the LM Arena text leaderboard (Style Control Off) on April 17, driven by its current lead at 1502 Arena Score as of April 14—six points ahead of claude-opus-4-6 and nine over gemini-3.1-pro-preview. Anthropic's February flagship, featuring adaptive thinking and 1M-token context, continues dominating agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench (93.2%) despite early-April user reports of "shrinkflation" regressions in reasoning depth and hallucinations. Challengers like gpt-5.4-high (1.1%) and gemini variants trail with lower scores and fewer recent capability demonstrations. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's leaderboard refresh, with no confirmed rival releases imminent.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$17,668
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.6% implied probability to claude-opus-4-6-thinking topping the LM Arena text leaderboard (Style Control Off) on April 17, driven by its current lead at 1502 Arena Score as of April 14—six points ahead of claude-opus-4-6 and nine over gemini-3.1-pro-preview. Anthropic's February flagship, featuring adaptive thinking and 1M-token context, continues dominating agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench (93.2%) despite early-April user reports of "shrinkflation" regressions in reasoning depth and hallucinations. Challengers like gpt-5.4-high (1.1%) and gemini variants trail with lower scores and fewer recent capability demonstrations. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's leaderboard refresh, with no confirmed rival releases imminent.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$17,668
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 13 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 84% ile "claude-opus-4-6-thinking", ardından 1% ile "gpt-5.4-high" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 84¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 84% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)" toplam $17.7K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Apr 9, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 13 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)" için mevcut favori 84% ile "claude-opus-4-6-thinking"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 84% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 1% ile "gpt-5.4-high"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.