Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiSpaceX IPO Kapanış Piyasa Değeri (En Düşük Grevler)
SpaceX IPO Kapanış Piyasa Değeri (En Düşük Grevler)
1T+ 93%
2028'den önce halka arz yok 3.1%
900B–1T 1.2%
<500B <1%
$3,059,564 Hac.
$3,059,564 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
<500B
<1%
500B–600B
<1%
600B–700B
<1%
700B–800B
<1%
800B–900B
<1%
900B–1T
1%
1T+
93%
2028'den önce halka arz yok
3%
1T+ 93%
2028'den önce halka arz yok 3.1%
900B–1T 1.2%
<500B <1%
$3,059,564 Hac.
$3,059,564 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
<500B
$352,279 Hac.
<1%
500B–600B
$279,845 Hac.
<1%
600B–700B
$244,131 Hac.
<1%
700B–800B
$275,878 Hac.
<1%
800B–900B
$445,660 Hac.
<1%
900B–1T
$378,954 Hac.
1%
1T+
$542,450 Hac.
93%
2028'den önce halka arz yok
$540,367 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Hacim
$3,059,564Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$3,059,564Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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