Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands a 94.5% implied probability as the top AI model by month's end, driven by its recent ascent to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score approaching 1500, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This edge stems from Anthropic's April 7 system card for the even more capable—but restricted—Claude Mythos Preview, which dominated 17 of 18 benchmarks like HLE (56.8% tool-free score vs. GPT-5.4's 42.7%). Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects sustained benchmark leadership amid fierce large language model competition. Realistic challenges include surprise updates from rivals before April 30 resolution or LMSYS volatility from user voting shifts, though the two-week window limits major disruptions.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNisan ayı sonunda en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip şirket hangisidir?
Nisan ayı sonunda en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip şirket hangisidir?
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 3.3%
Google <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$8,631,140 Hac.
$8,631,140 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
3%
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 3.3%
Google <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$8,631,140 Hac.
$8,631,140 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
$419,934 Hac.
95%
OpenAI
$920,133 Hac.
3%
$330,640 Hac.
1%
DeepSeek
$2,012,470 Hac.
<1%
xAI
$435,212 Hac.
<1%
Meta
$100,722 Hac.
<1%
Baidu
$553,708 Hac.
<1%
Amazon
$714,477 Hac.
<1%
Mistral
$418,994 Hac.
<1%
Meituan
$512,651 Hac.
<1%
Alibaba
$546,221 Hac.
<1%
ByteDance
$620,550 Hac.
<1%
Moonshot
$528,590 Hac.
<1%
Z.ai
$431,170 Hac.
<1%
Microsoft
$87,687 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands a 94.5% implied probability as the top AI model by month's end, driven by its recent ascent to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score approaching 1500, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This edge stems from Anthropic's April 7 system card for the even more capable—but restricted—Claude Mythos Preview, which dominated 17 of 18 benchmarks like HLE (56.8% tool-free score vs. GPT-5.4's 42.7%). Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects sustained benchmark leadership amid fierce large language model competition. Realistic challenges include surprise updates from rivals before April 30 resolution or LMSYS volatility from user voting shifts, though the two-week window limits major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Hacim
$8,631,140Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands a 94.5% implied probability as the top AI model by month's end, driven by its recent ascent to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score approaching 1500, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This edge stems from Anthropic's April 7 system card for the even more capable—but restricted—Claude Mythos Preview, which dominated 17 of 18 benchmarks like HLE (56.8% tool-free score vs. GPT-5.4's 42.7%). Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects sustained benchmark leadership amid fierce large language model competition. Realistic challenges include surprise updates from rivals before April 30 resolution or LMSYS volatility from user voting shifts, though the two-week window limits major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$8,631,140Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands a 94.5% implied probability as the top AI model by month's end, driven by its recent ascent to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score approaching 1500, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This edge stems from Anthropic's April 7 system card for the even more capable—but restricted—Claude Mythos Preview, which dominated 17 of 18 benchmarks like HLE (56.8% tool-free score vs. GPT-5.4's 42.7%). Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects sustained benchmark leadership amid fierce large language model competition. Realistic challenges include surprise updates from rivals before April 30 resolution or LMSYS volatility from user voting shifts, though the two-week window limits major disruptions.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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