Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at 76.5% implied probability, driven by escalating leaks about the internally codenamed "Spud" model—rumored to be a natively omnimodal large language model with superior agentic capabilities, extended context windows, and competitive pricing around $40–100 per million tokens. Pretraining reportedly wrapped by late March 2026, with post-training and red-teaming complete, fueling optimism after unfulfilled April 14–16 hype shifted sentiment to the next Thursday, aligning with patterns from GPT-5.3 and 5.4 drops. Intensifying rivalry with Anthropic's imminent Claude Opus 4.7 release adds pressure for a swift counter, though official confirmation remains absent and timelines could slip amid safety evaluations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiGPT-5.5 piyasaya sürülme tarihi...?
GPT-5.5 piyasaya sürülme tarihi...?
23 Nisan 77%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek 9.7%
30 Nisan 6.9%
26 Nisan 5.5%
$93,923 Hac.
$93,923 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
16 Nisan
1%
17 Nisan
2%
18 Nisan
<1%
19 Nisan
1%
20 Nisan
3%
21 Nisan
<1%
22 Nisan
4%
23 Nisan
77%
24 Nisan
<1%
25 Nisan
<1%
26 Nisan
6%
27 Nisan
<1%
28 Nisan
1%
29 Nisan
<1%
30 Nisan
7%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek
10%
23 Nisan 77%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek 9.7%
30 Nisan 6.9%
26 Nisan 5.5%
$93,923 Hac.
$93,923 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
16 Nisan
$44,838 Hac.
1%
17 Nisan
$1,998 Hac.
2%
18 Nisan
$1,782 Hac.
<1%
19 Nisan
$1,917 Hac.
1%
20 Nisan
$1,322 Hac.
3%
21 Nisan
$1,732 Hac.
<1%
22 Nisan
$1,975 Hac.
4%
23 Nisan
$18,302 Hac.
77%
24 Nisan
$323 Hac.
<1%
25 Nisan
$185 Hac.
<1%
26 Nisan
$1,400 Hac.
6%
27 Nisan
$1,041 Hac.
<1%
28 Nisan
$1,397 Hac.
1%
29 Nisan
$1,445 Hac.
<1%
30 Nisan
$2,750 Hac.
7%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek
$4,347 Hac.
10%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at 76.5% implied probability, driven by escalating leaks about the internally codenamed "Spud" model—rumored to be a natively omnimodal large language model with superior agentic capabilities, extended context windows, and competitive pricing around $40–100 per million tokens. Pretraining reportedly wrapped by late March 2026, with post-training and red-teaming complete, fueling optimism after unfulfilled April 14–16 hype shifted sentiment to the next Thursday, aligning with patterns from GPT-5.3 and 5.4 drops. Intensifying rivalry with Anthropic's imminent Claude Opus 4.7 release adds pressure for a swift counter, though official confirmation remains absent and timelines could slip amid safety evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Hacim
$93,923Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at 76.5% implied probability, driven by escalating leaks about the internally codenamed "Spud" model—rumored to be a natively omnimodal large language model with superior agentic capabilities, extended context windows, and competitive pricing around $40–100 per million tokens. Pretraining reportedly wrapped by late March 2026, with post-training and red-teaming complete, fueling optimism after unfulfilled April 14–16 hype shifted sentiment to the next Thursday, aligning with patterns from GPT-5.3 and 5.4 drops. Intensifying rivalry with Anthropic's imminent Claude Opus 4.7 release adds pressure for a swift counter, though official confirmation remains absent and timelines could slip amid safety evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$93,923Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 at 76.5% implied probability, driven by escalating leaks about the internally codenamed "Spud" model—rumored to be a natively omnimodal large language model with superior agentic capabilities, extended context windows, and competitive pricing around $40–100 per million tokens. Pretraining reportedly wrapped by late March 2026, with post-training and red-teaming complete, fueling optimism after unfulfilled April 14–16 hype shifted sentiment to the next Thursday, aligning with patterns from GPT-5.3 and 5.4 drops. Intensifying rivalry with Anthropic's imminent Claude Opus 4.7 release adds pressure for a swift counter, though official confirmation remains absent and timelines could slip amid safety evaluations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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