Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability on Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion, driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, alongside explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—tripled year-over-year from enterprise Claude AI adoption by Fortune 10 clients. Reports of early banker discussions for a Q4 2026 listing, potentially raising over $60 billion, and rejection of $800 billion-plus private VC offers signal confidence in public market multiples for its responsible AI positioning amid competitive dynamics with OpenAI. The 18.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects macro uncertainties like geopolitical tensions, though lower-cap outcomes trail due to robust fundamentals; watch Q2 regulatory filings and revenue updates for shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi600M+ 78%
31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz yok 19%
400–600 milyar 2.9%
300–400B 1.4%
$182,167 Hac.
$182,167 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
<100B
1%
100–200 milyar
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
1%
400–600 milyar
3%
600M+
78%
31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz yok
19%
600M+ 78%
31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz yok 19%
400–600 milyar 2.9%
300–400B 1.4%
$182,167 Hac.
$182,167 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
<100B
$55,792 Hac.
1%
100–200 milyar
$50,606 Hac.
<1%
200–300B
$6,305 Hac.
<1%
300–400B
$42,417 Hac.
1%
400–600 milyar
$7,027 Hac.
3%
600M+
$10,148 Hac.
78%
31 Aralık 2027'ye kadar halka arz yok
$9,873 Hac.
19%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability on Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion, driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, alongside explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—tripled year-over-year from enterprise Claude AI adoption by Fortune 10 clients. Reports of early banker discussions for a Q4 2026 listing, potentially raising over $60 billion, and rejection of $800 billion-plus private VC offers signal confidence in public market multiples for its responsible AI positioning amid competitive dynamics with OpenAI. The 18.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects macro uncertainties like geopolitical tensions, though lower-cap outcomes trail due to robust fundamentals; watch Q2 regulatory filings and revenue updates for shifts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Hacim
$182,167Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability on Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion, driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, alongside explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—tripled year-over-year from enterprise Claude AI adoption by Fortune 10 clients. Reports of early banker discussions for a Q4 2026 listing, potentially raising over $60 billion, and rejection of $800 billion-plus private VC offers signal confidence in public market multiples for its responsible AI positioning amid competitive dynamics with OpenAI. The 18.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects macro uncertainties like geopolitical tensions, though lower-cap outcomes trail due to robust fundamentals; watch Q2 regulatory filings and revenue updates for shifts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$182,167Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability on Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion, driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, alongside explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—tripled year-over-year from enterprise Claude AI adoption by Fortune 10 clients. Reports of early banker discussions for a Q4 2026 listing, potentially raising over $60 billion, and rejection of $800 billion-plus private VC offers signal confidence in public market multiples for its responsible AI positioning amid competitive dynamics with OpenAI. The 18.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects macro uncertainties like geopolitical tensions, though lower-cap outcomes trail due to robust fundamentals; watch Q2 regulatory filings and revenue updates for shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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