Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok 97.0%
600 milyar+ 1.5%
400–600B <1%
200–300 Milyar <1%
$987,897 Hac.
$987,897 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 Milyar
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600 milyar+
1%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
97%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok 97.0%
600 milyar+ 1.5%
400–600B <1%
200–300 Milyar <1%
$987,897 Hac.
$987,897 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<100B
$208,484 Hac.
<1%
100–200B
$69,307 Hac.
<1%
200–300 Milyar
$124,849 Hac.
<1%
300–400B
$73,181 Hac.
<1%
400–600B
$98,988 Hac.
1%
600 milyar+
$238,896 Hac.
1%
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
$174,191 Hac.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Hacim
$987,897Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$987,897Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement following the AI developer's massive $30 billion Series G funding round in February, which valued Claude's creator at $380 billion post-money and extended its capital runway significantly. Recent reports highlight banker pitches for a potential Q4 listing at $60 billion raise and $600 billion-plus valuations, but investor offers topping $800 billion for private rounds—some rejected—underscore a preference for staying private amid souring public sentiment on AI and data centers. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise SEC filings, OpenAI competitive moves, or revenue surges beyond $30 billion run-rate, though H1 timelines remain improbable.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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