Anthropic commands a 77% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by May's end, propelled by Claude Opus 4.6's recent dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a near-1500 Elo score and top coding rankings as of early April, outpacing rivals in agentic tasks and complex reasoning. Google trails at 17.5% on Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's strong multimodal benchmarks like MMMU-Pro, positioning it as a credible challenger amid tight competition. OpenAI's 4% reflects GPT-5.4's slippage in latest evals despite a robust model suite, while xAI and others linger below 3% absent breakthroughs. Traders eye potential pre-May releases from labs, but current benchmark leads and scaling momentum favor Anthropic's edge in the wisdom-of-crowds consensus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMayıs ayı sonunda en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip şirket hangisidir?
Mayıs ayı sonunda en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip şirket hangisidir?
Anthropic 77%
Google 18%
OpenAI 4.0%
xAI 2.5%
YENİ
$23,609 Hac.
YENİ
$23,609 Hac.
31 May 2026
Anthropic
77%
18%
OpenAI
4%
xAI
2%
Amazon
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 77%
Google 18%
OpenAI 4.0%
xAI 2.5%
YENİ
$23,609 Hac.
YENİ
$23,609 Hac.
31 May 2026
Anthropic
$2,512 Hac.
77%
$1,483 Hac.
18%
OpenAI
$1,849 Hac.
4%
xAI
$2,105 Hac.
2%
Amazon
$1,367 Hac.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,650 Hac.
1%
Meta
$1,290 Hac.
<1%
Alibaba
$1,361 Hac.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,361 Hac.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,361 Hac.
<1%
Baidu
$1,504 Hac.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,361 Hac.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,299 Hac.
<1%
Mistral
$1,464 Hac.
<1%
Meituan
$1,642 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands a 77% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by May's end, propelled by Claude Opus 4.6's recent dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a near-1500 Elo score and top coding rankings as of early April, outpacing rivals in agentic tasks and complex reasoning. Google trails at 17.5% on Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's strong multimodal benchmarks like MMMU-Pro, positioning it as a credible challenger amid tight competition. OpenAI's 4% reflects GPT-5.4's slippage in latest evals despite a robust model suite, while xAI and others linger below 3% absent breakthroughs. Traders eye potential pre-May releases from labs, but current benchmark leads and scaling momentum favor Anthropic's edge in the wisdom-of-crowds consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Hacim
$23,609Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands a 77% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by May's end, propelled by Claude Opus 4.6's recent dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a near-1500 Elo score and top coding rankings as of early April, outpacing rivals in agentic tasks and complex reasoning. Google trails at 17.5% on Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's strong multimodal benchmarks like MMMU-Pro, positioning it as a credible challenger amid tight competition. OpenAI's 4% reflects GPT-5.4's slippage in latest evals despite a robust model suite, while xAI and others linger below 3% absent breakthroughs. Traders eye potential pre-May releases from labs, but current benchmark leads and scaling momentum favor Anthropic's edge in the wisdom-of-crowds consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$23,609Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic commands a 77% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by May's end, propelled by Claude Opus 4.6's recent dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a near-1500 Elo score and top coding rankings as of early April, outpacing rivals in agentic tasks and complex reasoning. Google trails at 17.5% on Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's strong multimodal benchmarks like MMMU-Pro, positioning it as a credible challenger amid tight competition. OpenAI's 4% reflects GPT-5.4's slippage in latest evals despite a robust model suite, while xAI and others linger below 3% absent breakthroughs. Traders eye potential pre-May releases from labs, but current benchmark leads and scaling momentum favor Anthropic's edge in the wisdom-of-crowds consensus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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