SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records like Saudi Aramco's. The February merger with xAI, valuing the AI startup at around $250 billion and integrating its large language models like Grok into SpaceX's orbital ambitions, has supercharged its scale amid booming Starlink revenues projected at $20 billion this year. xAI lingers at 25.5% on residual hype from pre-merger funding, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) trail despite exploring Q4 offerings at $800 billion and $852 billion valuations, respectively, lacking firm timelines. Watch for SpaceX's S-1 prospectus and roadshow details as key catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiSpaceX 90%
Anthropic 3.4%
OpenAI 3.3%
Discord 1.5%
$1,713,398 Hac.
$1,713,398 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
SpaceX
90%
Anthropic
3%
OpenAI
3%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 3.4%
OpenAI 3.3%
Discord 1.5%
$1,713,398 Hac.
$1,713,398 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
SpaceX
$209,740 Hac.
90%
Anthropic
$348,361 Hac.
3%
OpenAI
$307,516 Hac.
3%
Discord
$74,419 Hac.
2%
Databricks
$73,225 Hac.
1%
Stripe
$40,393 Hac.
<1%
Kraken
$376,850 Hac.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,683 Hac.
<1%
ByteDance
$87,768 Hac.
<1%
Revolut
$32,200 Hac.
<1%
SHEIN
$57,592 Hac.
<1%
Waymo
$49,651 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records like Saudi Aramco's. The February merger with xAI, valuing the AI startup at around $250 billion and integrating its large language models like Grok into SpaceX's orbital ambitions, has supercharged its scale amid booming Starlink revenues projected at $20 billion this year. xAI lingers at 25.5% on residual hype from pre-merger funding, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) trail despite exploring Q4 offerings at $800 billion and $852 billion valuations, respectively, lacking firm timelines. Watch for SpaceX's S-1 prospectus and roadshow details as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Hacim
$1,713,398Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records like Saudi Aramco's. The February merger with xAI, valuing the AI startup at around $250 billion and integrating its large language models like Grok into SpaceX's orbital ambitions, has supercharged its scale amid booming Starlink revenues projected at $20 billion this year. xAI lingers at 25.5% on residual hype from pre-merger funding, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) trail despite exploring Q4 offerings at $800 billion and $852 billion valuations, respectively, lacking firm timelines. Watch for SpaceX's S-1 prospectus and roadshow details as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Hacim
$1,713,398Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records like Saudi Aramco's. The February merger with xAI, valuing the AI startup at around $250 billion and integrating its large language models like Grok into SpaceX's orbital ambitions, has supercharged its scale amid booming Starlink revenues projected at $20 billion this year. xAI lingers at 25.5% on residual hype from pre-merger funding, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) trail despite exploring Q4 offerings at $800 billion and $852 billion valuations, respectively, lacking firm timelines. Watch for SpaceX's S-1 prospectus and roadshow details as key catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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