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Teknoloji·Büyük Teknoloji

En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)

Market icon
Teknoloji·Büyük Teknoloji

En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)

Nis 17

Nis 17

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 81.0%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.9%

claude-opus-4-6 1.0%

muse-spark 1.0%

Polymarket

$30,048 Hac.

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 81.0%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.9%

claude-opus-4-6 1.0%

muse-spark 1.0%

Polymarket

$30,048 Hac.

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$17,959 Hac.

81%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

$242 Hac.

3%

claude-opus-4-6

$5,540 Hac.

1%

muse-spark

$234 Hac.

1%

gpt-5.4-high

$1,041 Hac.

1%

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

$738 Hac.

<1%

grok-4.20-beta1

$1,026 Hac.

<1%

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning

$655 Hac.

<1%

qwen3.5-max-preview

$279 Hac.

<1%

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k

$500 Hac.

<1%

gemini-2.5-pro

$252 Hac.

<1%

dola-seed-2.0-preview

$529 Hac.

<1%

gemini-3-pro

$435 Hac.

<1%

gemini-3-flash

$198 Hac.

<1%

kimi-k2.5-thinking

$419 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at an 81% implied probability to hold the top spot on the LM Arena Chatbot Arena "Style Control On" leaderboard tomorrow, reflecting its current leading Elo score of approximately 1504 from over 13,000 human preference votes. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, surged to #1 across text, coding, and search categories in early April, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (launched February 19) at 2.9%. Despite user reports since April 8 of reduced chain-of-thought depth (down 67%) and rising hallucinations—possibly compute-saving ahead of the Mythos preview—blind arena votes remain robust. With no major releases imminent before resolution, traders anticipate leaderboard stability.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$30,048
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at an 81% implied probability to hold the top spot on the LM Arena Chatbot Arena "Style Control On" leaderboard tomorrow, reflecting its current leading Elo score of approximately 1504 from over 13,000 human preference votes. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, surged to #1 across text, coding, and search categories in early April, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (launched February 19) at 2.9%. Despite user reports since April 8 of reduced chain-of-thought depth (down 67%) and rising hallucinations—possibly compute-saving ahead of the Mythos preview—blind arena votes remain robust. With no major releases imminent before resolution, traders anticipate leaderboard stability.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$30,048
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 15 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 81% ile "claude-opus-4-6-thinking", ardından 3% ile "gemini-3.1-pro-preview" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 81¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 81% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)" toplam $30K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Apr 9, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 15 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)" için mevcut favori 81% ile "claude-opus-4-6-thinking"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 81% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 3% ile "gemini-3.1-pro-preview"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"En iyi yapay zeka modeli 17 Nisan'da mı? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.