Moonshot AI has yet to publicly release Kimi K3, its anticipated next-generation large language model promising advances in reasoning, extended context lengths, and multimodal capabilities, keeping trader focus on timeline uncertainty as of mid-April 2026. The company's January Series C funding round of $500 million explicitly targeted K3 development and compute scaling, following the strong Kimi K2.5 launch that excelled in agentic coding and visual tasks. Recent website metadata spotting and early access programs for unreleased models fueled speculation, but no confirmed rollout via open API or product access. Competitive pressures mount from Z.ai's GLM-5.1 topping open-source benchmarks last week, with potential Moonshot announcements or leaks as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiApril 30
10%
June 30
63%
$5,319 Hac.
April 30
10%
June 30
63%
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI has yet to publicly release Kimi K3, its anticipated next-generation large language model promising advances in reasoning, extended context lengths, and multimodal capabilities, keeping trader focus on timeline uncertainty as of mid-April 2026. The company's January Series C funding round of $500 million explicitly targeted K3 development and compute scaling, following the strong Kimi K2.5 launch that excelled in agentic coding and visual tasks. Recent website metadata spotting and early access programs for unreleased models fueled speculation, but no confirmed rollout via open API or product access. Competitive pressures mount from Z.ai's GLM-5.1 topping open-source benchmarks last week, with potential Moonshot announcements or leaks as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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