Anthropic commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability on Polymarket for fielding the best coding AI model by April 30, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.6 variants—such as claude-opus-4-6-thinking—topping the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Coding leaderboard at 1548 Elo as of mid-April, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.x and Google's Gemini 3 Pro Preview. This lead stems from superior agentic coding capabilities, validated by 80%+ scores on SWE-Bench Verified and real-world developer acclaim for complex code generation and debugging. Recent April 16 launch of Claude Opus 4.7 further bolsters reasoning and tool-use in coding tasks. Challenges include an unexpected OpenAI update surging Elo via user votes or benchmark reevaluations before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAnthropic 92%
OpenAI 6.5%
DeepSeek 1.1%
Moonshot <1%
$88,578 Hac.
$88,578 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
92%
OpenAI
7%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
<1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 6.5%
DeepSeek 1.1%
Moonshot <1%
$88,578 Hac.
$88,578 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
$8,730 Hac.
92%
OpenAI
$9,743 Hac.
7%
DeepSeek
$11,261 Hac.
1%
Moonshot
$6,315 Hac.
1%
Z.ai
$9,197 Hac.
<1%
$6,096 Hac.
<1%
xAI
$5,440 Hac.
<1%
Alibaba
$5,438 Hac.
<1%
ByteDance
$5,367 Hac.
<1%
Baidu
$6,051 Hac.
<1%
Mistral
$4,625 Hac.
<1%
Meituan
$4,748 Hac.
<1%
Amazon
$5,566 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability on Polymarket for fielding the best coding AI model by April 30, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.6 variants—such as claude-opus-4-6-thinking—topping the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Coding leaderboard at 1548 Elo as of mid-April, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.x and Google's Gemini 3 Pro Preview. This lead stems from superior agentic coding capabilities, validated by 80%+ scores on SWE-Bench Verified and real-world developer acclaim for complex code generation and debugging. Recent April 16 launch of Claude Opus 4.7 further bolsters reasoning and tool-use in coding tasks. Challenges include an unexpected OpenAI update surging Elo via user votes or benchmark reevaluations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Hacim
$88,578Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability on Polymarket for fielding the best coding AI model by April 30, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.6 variants—such as claude-opus-4-6-thinking—topping the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Coding leaderboard at 1548 Elo as of mid-April, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.x and Google's Gemini 3 Pro Preview. This lead stems from superior agentic coding capabilities, validated by 80%+ scores on SWE-Bench Verified and real-world developer acclaim for complex code generation and debugging. Recent April 16 launch of Claude Opus 4.7 further bolsters reasoning and tool-use in coding tasks. Challenges include an unexpected OpenAI update surging Elo via user votes or benchmark reevaluations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$88,578Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability on Polymarket for fielding the best coding AI model by April 30, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.6 variants—such as claude-opus-4-6-thinking—topping the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Coding leaderboard at 1548 Elo as of mid-April, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.x and Google's Gemini 3 Pro Preview. This lead stems from superior agentic coding capabilities, validated by 80%+ scores on SWE-Bench Verified and real-world developer acclaim for complex code generation and debugging. Recent April 16 launch of Claude Opus 4.7 further bolsters reasoning and tool-use in coding tasks. Challenges include an unexpected OpenAI update surging Elo via user votes or benchmark reevaluations before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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