Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Alibaba a dominant 75% implied probability as the best Chinese AI company by end-April, anchored by its Qwen3 series—particularly Qwen-3-235B—in currently leading the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard among Chinese large language models, reflecting superior crowd-sourced battle performance in reasoning and multilingual tasks. DeepSeek trails at 13.5% amid hype for its delayed V4 model, expected late April with 1T parameters and Huawei Ascend optimization for extended context windows. Zhipu AI's recent GLM-5.1 release, topping SWE-Bench Pro coding benchmarks on domestic chips, has lifted it to 6.9%, while Moonshot's Kimi K2.5 surges in real-world usage. Resolution hinges on final LMArena standings, with potential last-week releases as key catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEn iyi Çin Yapay Zeka Şirketi Nisan sonu mu?
En iyi Çin Yapay Zeka Şirketi Nisan sonu mu?
Alibaba 75%
DeepSeek 13%
Z.ai 6.7%
Moonshot 3.3%
$55,309 Hac.
$55,309 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Alibaba
75%
DeepSeek
13%
Z.ai
7%
Moonshot
3%
ByteDance
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba 75%
DeepSeek 13%
Z.ai 6.7%
Moonshot 3.3%
$55,309 Hac.
$55,309 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Alibaba
$12,915 Hac.
75%
DeepSeek
$9,623 Hac.
13%
Z.ai
$6,191 Hac.
7%
Moonshot
$5,629 Hac.
3%
ByteDance
$6,400 Hac.
1%
Baidu
$5,596 Hac.
1%
Xiaomi
$4,712 Hac.
1%
Meituan
$4,266 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Alibaba a dominant 75% implied probability as the best Chinese AI company by end-April, anchored by its Qwen3 series—particularly Qwen-3-235B—in currently leading the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard among Chinese large language models, reflecting superior crowd-sourced battle performance in reasoning and multilingual tasks. DeepSeek trails at 13.5% amid hype for its delayed V4 model, expected late April with 1T parameters and Huawei Ascend optimization for extended context windows. Zhipu AI's recent GLM-5.1 release, topping SWE-Bench Pro coding benchmarks on domestic chips, has lifted it to 6.9%, while Moonshot's Kimi K2.5 surges in real-world usage. Resolution hinges on final LMArena standings, with potential last-week releases as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Hacim
$55,309Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Alibaba a dominant 75% implied probability as the best Chinese AI company by end-April, anchored by its Qwen3 series—particularly Qwen-3-235B—in currently leading the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard among Chinese large language models, reflecting superior crowd-sourced battle performance in reasoning and multilingual tasks. DeepSeek trails at 13.5% amid hype for its delayed V4 model, expected late April with 1T parameters and Huawei Ascend optimization for extended context windows. Zhipu AI's recent GLM-5.1 release, topping SWE-Bench Pro coding benchmarks on domestic chips, has lifted it to 6.9%, while Moonshot's Kimi K2.5 surges in real-world usage. Resolution hinges on final LMArena standings, with potential last-week releases as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$55,309Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Alibaba a dominant 75% implied probability as the best Chinese AI company by end-April, anchored by its Qwen3 series—particularly Qwen-3-235B—in currently leading the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard among Chinese large language models, reflecting superior crowd-sourced battle performance in reasoning and multilingual tasks. DeepSeek trails at 13.5% amid hype for its delayed V4 model, expected late April with 1T parameters and Huawei Ascend optimization for extended context windows. Zhipu AI's recent GLM-5.1 release, topping SWE-Bench Pro coding benchmarks on domestic chips, has lifted it to 6.9%, while Moonshot's Kimi K2.5 surges in real-world usage. Resolution hinges on final LMArena standings, with potential last-week releases as key catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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