Anthropic's aggressive IPO groundwork, including hiring Wilson Sonsini and banker pitches for a potential October 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, has propelled its market-implied 65.5% lead over OpenAI, reflecting trader consensus on superior execution amid a tight Q4 race. The AI lab's revenue exploded from $9 billion to $30 billion ARR in one year—outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion—driven by an 80% enterprise mix and lower capital burn, signaling stronger unit economics for public markets. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's public concerns over CEO Sam Altman's rushed timeline and massive compute spending projections, delaying consensus on feasibility. Traders eye regulatory filings and S-1 drafts as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAnthropic
$52,599 Hac.
$52,599 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
Anthropic
$52,599 Hac.
$52,599 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's aggressive IPO groundwork, including hiring Wilson Sonsini and banker pitches for a potential October 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, has propelled its market-implied 65.5% lead over OpenAI, reflecting trader consensus on superior execution amid a tight Q4 race. The AI lab's revenue exploded from $9 billion to $30 billion ARR in one year—outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion—driven by an 80% enterprise mix and lower capital burn, signaling stronger unit economics for public markets. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's public concerns over CEO Sam Altman's rushed timeline and massive compute spending projections, delaying consensus on feasibility. Traders eye regulatory filings and S-1 drafts as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Hacim
$52,599Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's aggressive IPO groundwork, including hiring Wilson Sonsini and banker pitches for a potential October 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, has propelled its market-implied 65.5% lead over OpenAI, reflecting trader consensus on superior execution amid a tight Q4 race. The AI lab's revenue exploded from $9 billion to $30 billion ARR in one year—outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion—driven by an 80% enterprise mix and lower capital burn, signaling stronger unit economics for public markets. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's public concerns over CEO Sam Altman's rushed timeline and massive compute spending projections, delaying consensus on feasibility. Traders eye regulatory filings and S-1 drafts as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$52,599Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's aggressive IPO groundwork, including hiring Wilson Sonsini and banker pitches for a potential October 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, has propelled its market-implied 65.5% lead over OpenAI, reflecting trader consensus on superior execution amid a tight Q4 race. The AI lab's revenue exploded from $9 billion to $30 billion ARR in one year—outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion—driven by an 80% enterprise mix and lower capital burn, signaling stronger unit economics for public markets. OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's public concerns over CEO Sam Altman's rushed timeline and massive compute spending projections, delaying consensus on feasibility. Traders eye regulatory filings and S-1 drafts as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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