Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin divide between no change (47.5%) and a rate increase (46.5%) for the Bank of Korea's July 2026 decision, with cuts a distant 17.5%, driven by the central bank's April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50% amid balanced risks. March CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year, fueled by surging oil prices from the US-Iran conflict, prompting Governor Rhee Chang-yong to warn of inflation considerably exceeding forecasts, while upward revisions to 2026 growth (sub-2%) and mid-to-high 2% inflation signal a neutral stance. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and June policy meeting; persistent price pressures could tip toward a 25 basis point hike, but softening domestic demand favors steady rates.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Increase 59%
No Change 48%
Decrease 26%
$10,069 Hac.
$10,069 Hac.
16 Tem 2026
Decrease
17%
No Change
48%
Increase
47%
Increase 59%
No Change 48%
Decrease 26%
$10,069 Hac.
$10,069 Hac.
16 Tem 2026
Decrease
$8,114 Hac.
17%
No Change
$252 Hac.
48%
Increase
$1,703 Hac.
47%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin divide between no change (47.5%) and a rate increase (46.5%) for the Bank of Korea's July 2026 decision, with cuts a distant 17.5%, driven by the central bank's April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50% amid balanced risks. March CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year, fueled by surging oil prices from the US-Iran conflict, prompting Governor Rhee Chang-yong to warn of inflation considerably exceeding forecasts, while upward revisions to 2026 growth (sub-2%) and mid-to-high 2% inflation signal a neutral stance. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and June policy meeting; persistent price pressures could tip toward a 25 basis point hike, but softening domestic demand favors steady rates.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Hacim
$10,069Bitiş Tarihi
16 Tem 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin divide between no change (47.5%) and a rate increase (46.5%) for the Bank of Korea's July 2026 decision, with cuts a distant 17.5%, driven by the central bank's April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50% amid balanced risks. March CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year, fueled by surging oil prices from the US-Iran conflict, prompting Governor Rhee Chang-yong to warn of inflation considerably exceeding forecasts, while upward revisions to 2026 growth (sub-2%) and mid-to-high 2% inflation signal a neutral stance. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and June policy meeting; persistent price pressures could tip toward a 25 basis point hike, but softening domestic demand favors steady rates.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$10,069Bitiş Tarihi
16 Tem 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin divide between no change (47.5%) and a rate increase (46.5%) for the Bank of Korea's July 2026 decision, with cuts a distant 17.5%, driven by the central bank's April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50% amid balanced risks. March CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year, fueled by surging oil prices from the US-Iran conflict, prompting Governor Rhee Chang-yong to warn of inflation considerably exceeding forecasts, while upward revisions to 2026 growth (sub-2%) and mid-to-high 2% inflation signal a neutral stance. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and June policy meeting; persistent price pressures could tip toward a 25 basis point hike, but softening domestic demand favors steady rates.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular