Polymarket traders assign a leading 36% implied probability to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, narrowly ahead of 2.1–2.3% (26%) and 2.7–2.9% (26%) bins, underscoring competitive dynamics amid upside risks. March 2026 yoy CPI rose to 2.2%—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% consensus—driven by oil prices, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its 2.50% policy rate on April 11 while flagging elevated global energy costs and short-term expectations at 2.7%. BOK's revised 2.2% forecast and IMF's 2.5% projection reflect trader caution near the 2% target, with swings hinging on April CPI (due early May), oil trajectories, and export momentum versus stabilization policies.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi3.0%+ 37%
2.4% to 2.6% 27.4%
1.8% to 2.0% 20%
2.7% to 2.9% 18.4%
$10,490 Hac.
$10,490 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
<1.5%
9%
1.5% to 1.7%
24%
1.8% to 2.0%
25%
2.1% to 2.3%
27%
2.4% to 2.6%
27%
2.7% to 2.9%
24%
3.0%+
37%
3.0%+ 37%
2.4% to 2.6% 27.4%
1.8% to 2.0% 20%
2.7% to 2.9% 18.4%
$10,490 Hac.
$10,490 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
<1.5%
$950 Hac.
9%
1.5% to 1.7%
$952 Hac.
24%
1.8% to 2.0%
$103 Hac.
25%
2.1% to 2.3%
$154 Hac.
27%
2.4% to 2.6%
$143 Hac.
27%
2.7% to 2.9%
$99 Hac.
24%
3.0%+
$8,090 Hac.
37%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders assign a leading 36% implied probability to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, narrowly ahead of 2.1–2.3% (26%) and 2.7–2.9% (26%) bins, underscoring competitive dynamics amid upside risks. March 2026 yoy CPI rose to 2.2%—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% consensus—driven by oil prices, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its 2.50% policy rate on April 11 while flagging elevated global energy costs and short-term expectations at 2.7%. BOK's revised 2.2% forecast and IMF's 2.5% projection reflect trader caution near the 2% target, with swings hinging on April CPI (due early May), oil trajectories, and export momentum versus stabilization policies.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Hacim
$10,490Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders assign a leading 36% implied probability to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, narrowly ahead of 2.1–2.3% (26%) and 2.7–2.9% (26%) bins, underscoring competitive dynamics amid upside risks. March 2026 yoy CPI rose to 2.2%—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% consensus—driven by oil prices, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its 2.50% policy rate on April 11 while flagging elevated global energy costs and short-term expectations at 2.7%. BOK's revised 2.2% forecast and IMF's 2.5% projection reflect trader caution near the 2% target, with swings hinging on April CPI (due early May), oil trajectories, and export momentum versus stabilization policies.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Hacim
$10,490Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a leading 36% implied probability to South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, narrowly ahead of 2.1–2.3% (26%) and 2.7–2.9% (26%) bins, underscoring competitive dynamics amid upside risks. March 2026 yoy CPI rose to 2.2%—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% consensus—driven by oil prices, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its 2.50% policy rate on April 11 while flagging elevated global energy costs and short-term expectations at 2.7%. BOK's revised 2.2% forecast and IMF's 2.5% projection reflect trader caution near the 2% target, with swings hinging on April CPI (due early May), oil trajectories, and export momentum versus stabilization policies.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular