Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.1% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's April 28–29 Copom meeting, building on the panel's March 2026 initiation of an easing cycle with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after prolonged tightening amid Middle East-driven oil shocks. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—fueled by 4.59% gasoline gains—markets view this as transitory, with core pressures easing and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.1–4.36% still within tolerance of the 3% target (±1.5%). Subdued GDP growth forecasts near 1.85% and tight labor markets reinforce forward guidance for convergence, though sustained energy spikes or hotter April data could challenge the path and prompt no-change.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAzalış 96.1%
Değişiklik Yok 3.5%
Artış <1%
$273,941 Hac.
$273,941 Hac.
28 Nis 2026
Artış
1%
Değişiklik Yok
4%
Azalış
96%
Azalış 96.1%
Değişiklik Yok 3.5%
Artış <1%
$273,941 Hac.
$273,941 Hac.
28 Nis 2026
Artış
$146,219 Hac.
1%
Değişiklik Yok
$62,527 Hac.
4%
Azalış
$65,195 Hac.
96%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.1% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's April 28–29 Copom meeting, building on the panel's March 2026 initiation of an easing cycle with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after prolonged tightening amid Middle East-driven oil shocks. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—fueled by 4.59% gasoline gains—markets view this as transitory, with core pressures easing and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.1–4.36% still within tolerance of the 3% target (±1.5%). Subdued GDP growth forecasts near 1.85% and tight labor markets reinforce forward guidance for convergence, though sustained energy spikes or hotter April data could challenge the path and prompt no-change.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Hacim
$273,941Bitiş Tarihi
28 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.1% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's April 28–29 Copom meeting, building on the panel's March 2026 initiation of an easing cycle with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after prolonged tightening amid Middle East-driven oil shocks. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—fueled by 4.59% gasoline gains—markets view this as transitory, with core pressures easing and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.1–4.36% still within tolerance of the 3% target (±1.5%). Subdued GDP growth forecasts near 1.85% and tight labor markets reinforce forward guidance for convergence, though sustained energy spikes or hotter April data could challenge the path and prompt no-change.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$273,941Bitiş Tarihi
28 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.1% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's April 28–29 Copom meeting, building on the panel's March 2026 initiation of an easing cycle with a cautious 25 basis point cut to 14.75% after prolonged tightening amid Middle East-driven oil shocks. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—fueled by 4.59% gasoline gains—markets view this as transitory, with core pressures easing and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.1–4.36% still within tolerance of the 3% target (±1.5%). Subdued GDP growth forecasts near 1.85% and tight labor markets reinforce forward guidance for convergence, though sustained energy spikes or hotter April data could challenge the path and prompt no-change.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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