The March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% spike in gasoline prices amid escalating U.S.-Israeli tensions with Iran, pushing energy costs up 12.5% annually and overshadowing steadier core CPI trends around 3.7%. This headline shock has lifted five-year breakeven inflation rates to 2.61% as of April 13, signaling trader consensus for modestly higher inflation persistence into 2026, aligning with the Federal Open Market Committee's March upward revision of core PCE inflation to 2.7% for the year. Traders eye the April CPI release on May 12 for signs of disinflation resumption or further energy-led volatility, amid base effects and potential Federal Reserve policy recalibration.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$604,097 Hac.
%3,5'in Üzerinde
90%
%4'ün Üzerinde
52%
%5'in Üzerinde
21%
%6'nın Üzerinde
15%
%8'in üzerinde
8%
%10'un Üzerinde
5%
$604,097 Hac.
%3,5'in Üzerinde
90%
%4'ün Üzerinde
52%
%5'in Üzerinde
21%
%6'nın Üzerinde
15%
%8'in üzerinde
8%
%10'un Üzerinde
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% spike in gasoline prices amid escalating U.S.-Israeli tensions with Iran, pushing energy costs up 12.5% annually and overshadowing steadier core CPI trends around 3.7%. This headline shock has lifted five-year breakeven inflation rates to 2.61% as of April 13, signaling trader consensus for modestly higher inflation persistence into 2026, aligning with the Federal Open Market Committee's March upward revision of core PCE inflation to 2.7% for the year. Traders eye the April CPI release on May 12 for signs of disinflation resumption or further energy-led volatility, amid base effects and potential Federal Reserve policy recalibration.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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