Polymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 47.0%
1.0–1.2% 7.6%
2.8-3.0% 6.7%
1.3–1.5% 2.3%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Oca 2027
<1.0%
2%
1.0–1.2%
8%
1.3–1.5%
2%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
31%
2.8-3.0%
7%
3.1%+
53%
3.1%+ 47.0%
1.0–1.2% 7.6%
2.8-3.0% 6.7%
1.3–1.5% 2.3%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Oca 2027
<1.0%
$685 Hac.
2%
1.0–1.2%
$714 Hac.
8%
1.3–1.5%
$677 Hac.
2%
1.6–1.8%
$652 Hac.
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,671 Hac.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$750 Hac.
1%
2.5–2.7%
$886 Hac.
31%
2.8-3.0%
$630 Hac.
7%
3.1%+
$1,842 Hac.
53%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Hacim
$9,508Bitiş Tarihi
19 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Hacim
$9,508Bitiş Tarihi
19 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket trader consensus, backed by real capital at stake, assigns a 67% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1%, with 36% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by March's headline rate surging to 2.5% year-over-year from February's 1.9% amid soaring energy costs tied to the Iran war's oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz. ECB staff March projections lifted the 2026 average forecast to 2.6%—with Q2 peaking at 3.1%—citing persistent pressures, while core HICP hovers near 2.5%. Sticky services inflation and wage dynamics amplify second-round effects, though final March data today and the April flash estimate will shape near-term revisions ahead of ECB meetings.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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