Trader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects tight competition among bins, with implied probabilities clustered around 29-30% for 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and below 0.75%, signaling deep uncertainty over the calendar-year CPI trajectory. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.4% year-over-year—its 13-month high—driven by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid West Asia tensions elevating commodity pressures, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to hold the repo rate at 5.25% and project FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%). This uptick tempers earlier FY26 forecasts of 2.1%, splitting crowds on whether base effects and monsoon outcomes sustain disinflation below 3% or push toward the 4% target upper band. Key swing factors include April CPI (due May 12) and June RBI policy.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi<0.75% 34%
1.50% to 2.24% 26%
2.25% to 2.99% 20%
3.75% to 4.49% 20%
$57,500 Hac.
$57,500 Hac.
12 Oca 2027
<0.75%
25%
0.75% to 1.49%
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
26%
2.25% to 2.99%
25%
3.00% to 3.74%
12%
3.75% to 4.49%
29%
4.50%+
18%
<0.75% 34%
1.50% to 2.24% 26%
2.25% to 2.99% 20%
3.75% to 4.49% 20%
$57,500 Hac.
$57,500 Hac.
12 Oca 2027
<0.75%
$657 Hac.
25%
0.75% to 1.49%
$281 Hac.
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
$360 Hac.
26%
2.25% to 2.99%
$22,345 Hac.
25%
3.00% to 3.74%
$421 Hac.
12%
3.75% to 4.49%
$22,740 Hac.
29%
4.50%+
$10,695 Hac.
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects tight competition among bins, with implied probabilities clustered around 29-30% for 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and below 0.75%, signaling deep uncertainty over the calendar-year CPI trajectory. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.4% year-over-year—its 13-month high—driven by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid West Asia tensions elevating commodity pressures, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to hold the repo rate at 5.25% and project FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%). This uptick tempers earlier FY26 forecasts of 2.1%, splitting crowds on whether base effects and monsoon outcomes sustain disinflation below 3% or push toward the 4% target upper band. Key swing factors include April CPI (due May 12) and June RBI policy.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Hacim
$57,500Bitiş Tarihi
12 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects tight competition among bins, with implied probabilities clustered around 29-30% for 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and below 0.75%, signaling deep uncertainty over the calendar-year CPI trajectory. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.4% year-over-year—its 13-month high—driven by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid West Asia tensions elevating commodity pressures, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to hold the repo rate at 5.25% and project FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%). This uptick tempers earlier FY26 forecasts of 2.1%, splitting crowds on whether base effects and monsoon outcomes sustain disinflation below 3% or push toward the 4% target upper band. Key swing factors include April CPI (due May 12) and June RBI policy.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Hacim
$57,500Bitiş Tarihi
12 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects tight competition among bins, with implied probabilities clustered around 29-30% for 2.25%-2.99%, 3.75%-4.49%, and below 0.75%, signaling deep uncertainty over the calendar-year CPI trajectory. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.4% year-over-year—its 13-month high—driven by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid West Asia tensions elevating commodity pressures, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to hold the repo rate at 5.25% and project FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%). This uptick tempers earlier FY26 forecasts of 2.1%, splitting crowds on whether base effects and monsoon outcomes sustain disinflation below 3% or push toward the 4% target upper band. Key swing factors include April CPI (due May 12) and June RBI policy.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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