With West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 (152 seats) and 29 (142 seats), trader consensus favors AITC at 57% implied probability over BJP's 42%, aligning with early April opinion polls like Chanakya-ABP (AITC+ 155-165 seats, BJP 110-115) and Matrize-ABP (hung assembly, AITC 140-160, BJP 130-150) projecting the incumbent a slim majority past 148 seats needed. Mamata Banerjee's 46% CM preference bolsters AITC's rural and Muslim voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment, corruption scams, and women's safety; BJP surges via central leadership rallies, illegal immigration concerns from Bangladesh, and gains among upper-caste Hindus and SC-STs. Election Commission deploys 2,407 central force companies amid ED raids on TMC-linked I-PAC (April 14); fragmented Left and INC trail.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBatı Bengal Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı
Batı Bengal Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı
AITC 57.1%
BJP 42.1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,180 Hac.
$1,883,180 Hac.
29 Nis 2026
AITC
57%
BJP
42%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 57.1%
BJP 42.1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,180 Hac.
$1,883,180 Hac.
29 Nis 2026
AITC
$99,600 Hac.
57%
BJP
$150,661 Hac.
42%
CPI
$792,255 Hac.
<1%
CPI(M)
$27,185 Hac.
<1%
INC
$21,707 Hac.
<1%
BGPM
$791,772 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 (152 seats) and 29 (142 seats), trader consensus favors AITC at 57% implied probability over BJP's 42%, aligning with early April opinion polls like Chanakya-ABP (AITC+ 155-165 seats, BJP 110-115) and Matrize-ABP (hung assembly, AITC 140-160, BJP 130-150) projecting the incumbent a slim majority past 148 seats needed. Mamata Banerjee's 46% CM preference bolsters AITC's rural and Muslim voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment, corruption scams, and women's safety; BJP surges via central leadership rallies, illegal immigration concerns from Bangladesh, and gains among upper-caste Hindus and SC-STs. Election Commission deploys 2,407 central force companies amid ED raids on TMC-linked I-PAC (April 14); fragmented Left and INC trail.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Hacim
$1,883,180Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 (152 seats) and 29 (142 seats), trader consensus favors AITC at 57% implied probability over BJP's 42%, aligning with early April opinion polls like Chanakya-ABP (AITC+ 155-165 seats, BJP 110-115) and Matrize-ABP (hung assembly, AITC 140-160, BJP 130-150) projecting the incumbent a slim majority past 148 seats needed. Mamata Banerjee's 46% CM preference bolsters AITC's rural and Muslim voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment, corruption scams, and women's safety; BJP surges via central leadership rallies, illegal immigration concerns from Bangladesh, and gains among upper-caste Hindus and SC-STs. Election Commission deploys 2,407 central force companies amid ED raids on TMC-linked I-PAC (April 14); fragmented Left and INC trail.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Hacim
$1,883,180Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 (152 seats) and 29 (142 seats), trader consensus favors AITC at 57% implied probability over BJP's 42%, aligning with early April opinion polls like Chanakya-ABP (AITC+ 155-165 seats, BJP 110-115) and Matrize-ABP (hung assembly, AITC 140-160, BJP 130-150) projecting the incumbent a slim majority past 148 seats needed. Mamata Banerjee's 46% CM preference bolsters AITC's rural and Muslim voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment, corruption scams, and women's safety; BJP surges via central leadership rallies, illegal immigration concerns from Bangladesh, and gains among upper-caste Hindus and SC-STs. Election Commission deploys 2,407 central force companies amid ED raids on TMC-linked I-PAC (April 14); fragmented Left and INC trail.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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