Trader consensus on Polymarket favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 27.1% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, national media profile from anti-Trump clashes, and fundraising prowess in a wide-open field following Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive grassroots appeal and youth, while Harris lingers at 6.7% despite her April 10 remarks at the National Action Network convention teasing a potential comeback amid chants of support. Early polls diverge, often showing Harris ahead, but traders prioritize electability and midterm performances—approaching in 2026—that could consolidate support behind battle-tested governors like Newsom or Whitmer through stronger swing-state paths and party endorsements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDemokratik Başkan Adayı 2028
Demokratik Başkan Adayı 2028
Gavin Newsom 27.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Kamala Harris 6.7%
Jon Ossoff 5.8%
$1,051,849,218 Hac.
$1,051,849,218 Hac.

Gavin Newsom
27%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Kamala Harris
7%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Andy Beshear
3%

Mark Kelly
3%

James Talarico
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Ruben Gallego
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Jared Polis
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%
Gavin Newsom 27.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Kamala Harris 6.7%
Jon Ossoff 5.8%
$1,051,849,218 Hac.
$1,051,849,218 Hac.

Gavin Newsom
27%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Kamala Harris
7%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Andy Beshear
3%

Mark Kelly
3%

James Talarico
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Ruben Gallego
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Jared Polis
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 27.1% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, national media profile from anti-Trump clashes, and fundraising prowess in a wide-open field following Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on progressive grassroots appeal and youth, while Harris lingers at 6.7% despite her April 10 remarks at the National Action Network convention teasing a potential comeback amid chants of support. Early polls diverge, often showing Harris ahead, but traders prioritize electability and midterm performances—approaching in 2026—that could consolidate support behind battle-tested governors like Newsom or Whitmer through stronger swing-state paths and party endorsements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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