Record Republican retirements—over 35 incumbents compared to 20 Democrats—have created vulnerable open seats in competitive districts, fueling trader consensus that Democrats are heavily favored to flip the narrow House majority currently held by Republicans at 219-214. Recent Cook Political Report shifts moved 18 races toward Democrats, aligning with generic ballot polls showing a 5-6 point Democratic edge and historical midterm penalties averaging 26 seat losses for the president's party. Special election overperformance by Democrats further bolsters this positioning, though GOP unity under President Trump or economic improvements could narrow the gap ahead of November 3 primaries and general elections.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 'da Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
2026 'da Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
$4,497,863 Hac.
$4,497,863 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
%4 Kazan
Demokrat Parti
85%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
15%
$4,497,863 Hac.
$4,497,863 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
%4 Kazan
Demokrat Parti
$2,274,595 Hac.
85%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$2,223,267 Hac.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Record Republican retirements—over 35 incumbents compared to 20 Democrats—have created vulnerable open seats in competitive districts, fueling trader consensus that Democrats are heavily favored to flip the narrow House majority currently held by Republicans at 219-214. Recent Cook Political Report shifts moved 18 races toward Democrats, aligning with generic ballot polls showing a 5-6 point Democratic edge and historical midterm penalties averaging 26 seat losses for the president's party. Special election overperformance by Democrats further bolsters this positioning, though GOP unity under President Trump or economic improvements could narrow the gap ahead of November 3 primaries and general elections.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Hacim
$4,497,863Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Record Republican retirements—over 35 incumbents compared to 20 Democrats—have created vulnerable open seats in competitive districts, fueling trader consensus that Democrats are heavily favored to flip the narrow House majority currently held by Republicans at 219-214. Recent Cook Political Report shifts moved 18 races toward Democrats, aligning with generic ballot polls showing a 5-6 point Democratic edge and historical midterm penalties averaging 26 seat losses for the president's party. Special election overperformance by Democrats further bolsters this positioning, though GOP unity under President Trump or economic improvements could narrow the gap ahead of November 3 primaries and general elections.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Hacim
$4,497,863Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Record Republican retirements—over 35 incumbents compared to 20 Democrats—have created vulnerable open seats in competitive districts, fueling trader consensus that Democrats are heavily favored to flip the narrow House majority currently held by Republicans at 219-214. Recent Cook Political Report shifts moved 18 races toward Democrats, aligning with generic ballot polls showing a 5-6 point Democratic edge and historical midterm penalties averaging 26 seat losses for the president's party. Special election overperformance by Democrats further bolsters this positioning, though GOP unity under President Trump or economic improvements could narrow the gap ahead of November 3 primaries and general elections.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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