Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, driven by his dominant fundraising—reporting $4 million cash on hand two days ago—and a slight edge in the latest Rainey Center poll (23% to Michael Echols' 20%), framing a two-man race among likely voters. Echols holds second at 22% amid name recognition as a state representative, while others like Rick Edmonds trail due to lower visibility and resources in the new closed primary system. Incumbent Julia Letlow's Senate bid opened the seat, boosting Miguez after his Trump endorsement and shift from that race; Echols' momentum depends on closing the resource gap before early voting begins May 2.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiLA -05 Cumhuriyetçi Birincil Kazanan
LA -05 Cumhuriyetçi Birincil Kazanan
Blake Miguez 71%
Michael Echols 21.8%
Rick Edmonds 5.0%
Samuel Wyatt 3.0%
$29,588 Hac.
$29,588 Hac.
16 May 2026
Blake Miguez
56%
Michael Echols
22%
Rick Edmonds
5%
Samuel Wyatt
3%
Misti Cordell
2%
Michael Mebruer
1%
Austin Magee
1%
Blake Miguez 71%
Michael Echols 21.8%
Rick Edmonds 5.0%
Samuel Wyatt 3.0%
$29,588 Hac.
$29,588 Hac.
16 May 2026
Blake Miguez
$15,268 Hac.
56%
Michael Echols
$8,346 Hac.
22%
Rick Edmonds
$76 Hac.
5%
Samuel Wyatt
$5,173 Hac.
3%
Misti Cordell
$311 Hac.
2%
Michael Mebruer
$104 Hac.
1%
Austin Magee
$310 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, driven by his dominant fundraising—reporting $4 million cash on hand two days ago—and a slight edge in the latest Rainey Center poll (23% to Michael Echols' 20%), framing a two-man race among likely voters. Echols holds second at 22% amid name recognition as a state representative, while others like Rick Edmonds trail due to lower visibility and resources in the new closed primary system. Incumbent Julia Letlow's Senate bid opened the seat, boosting Miguez after his Trump endorsement and shift from that race; Echols' momentum depends on closing the resource gap before early voting begins May 2.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Hacim
$29,588Bitiş Tarihi
16 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, driven by his dominant fundraising—reporting $4 million cash on hand two days ago—and a slight edge in the latest Rainey Center poll (23% to Michael Echols' 20%), framing a two-man race among likely voters. Echols holds second at 22% amid name recognition as a state representative, while others like Rick Edmonds trail due to lower visibility and resources in the new closed primary system. Incumbent Julia Letlow's Senate bid opened the seat, boosting Miguez after his Trump endorsement and shift from that race; Echols' momentum depends on closing the resource gap before early voting begins May 2.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$29,588Bitiş Tarihi
16 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, driven by his dominant fundraising—reporting $4 million cash on hand two days ago—and a slight edge in the latest Rainey Center poll (23% to Michael Echols' 20%), framing a two-man race among likely voters. Echols holds second at 22% amid name recognition as a state representative, while others like Rick Edmonds trail due to lower visibility and resources in the new closed primary system. Incumbent Julia Letlow's Senate bid opened the seat, boosting Miguez after his Trump endorsement and shift from that race; Echols' momentum depends on closing the resource gap before early voting begins May 2.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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