Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by recent polls like American Pulse (March 20-24) showing her at 31% ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (21%), with a BDPC memo confirming her 29% edge amid 27% undecideds. President Trump's endorsement has boosted Letlow among the GOP base in the new closed partisan primary, while Cassidy trails at 7% due to backlash over his post-January 6 Trump impeachment vote; Fleming holds 20.4% despite recent outside group attacks. Early voting starts May 2, with runoff possible if no majority.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiJulia Letlow 70%
John Fleming 19.6%
Bill Cassidy 7%
Julie Emerson <1%
$195,935 Hac.
$195,935 Hac.
Julia Letlow
70%
John Fleming
20%
Bill Cassidy
7%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Julia Letlow 70%
John Fleming 19.6%
Bill Cassidy 7%
Julie Emerson <1%
$195,935 Hac.
$195,935 Hac.
Julia Letlow
70%
John Fleming
20%
Bill Cassidy
7%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by recent polls like American Pulse (March 20-24) showing her at 31% ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (21%), with a BDPC memo confirming her 29% edge amid 27% undecideds. President Trump's endorsement has boosted Letlow among the GOP base in the new closed partisan primary, while Cassidy trails at 7% due to backlash over his post-January 6 Trump impeachment vote; Fleming holds 20.4% despite recent outside group attacks. Early voting starts May 2, with runoff possible if no majority.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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