Trader consensus in the OH-07 Democratic primary heavily favors union ironworker and Brook Park City Councilman Brian Poindexter at 86.5% implied probability, propelled by his March 26 endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders, which amplified his working-class appeal and labor backing from groups like Northshore AFL-CIO and Our Revolution amid a crowded eight-candidate field. The May 5 primary lacks public polling, leaving market pricing to reflect Poindexter's grassroots momentum and vote-splitting among challengers to incumbent Rep. Max Miller. Former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald trails at 6.9% on lingering name recognition, with Scott Schulz, Laura Rodriguez-Carbone, and others fragmented below 5%, as early voting progresses toward election day.