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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Baird 85%

Craig Haggard 21%

John Piper <1%

Polymarket
YENİ

Jim Baird 85%

Craig Haggard 21%

John Piper <1%

Polymarket
YENİ

Jim Baird

$268 Hac.

85%

Craig Haggard

$464 Hac.

21%

John Piper

$653 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a narrow 55% trader consensus lead over State Rep. Craig Haggard at 49% in the May 5 Republican primary for Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting incumbency advantages, fundraising superiority, and President Trump's recent endorsement despite conservative backlash to Baird's co-sponsorship of the Dignity Act immigration measure. Haggard has gained traction through endorsements from Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March and America First groups criticizing Baird as out of touch at age 80, fueling challenger momentum in recent local events like Cass County Lincoln Day dinners. Absent public polling, the race remains tightly contested ahead of early voting, with potential separation from final endorsements, Trump rally impacts, or voter turnout among primary blocs.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$1,384
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a narrow 55% trader consensus lead over State Rep. Craig Haggard at 49% in the May 5 Republican primary for Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting incumbency advantages, fundraising superiority, and President Trump's recent endorsement despite conservative backlash to Baird's co-sponsorship of the Dignity Act immigration measure. Haggard has gained traction through endorsements from Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March and America First groups criticizing Baird as out of touch at age 80, fueling challenger momentum in recent local events like Cass County Lincoln Day dinners. Absent public polling, the race remains tightly contested ahead of early voting, with potential separation from final endorsements, Trump rally impacts, or voter turnout among primary blocs.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$1,384
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"IN-04 Republican Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 3 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 85% ile "Jim Baird", ardından 21% ile "Craig Haggard" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 85¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 85% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"IN-04 Republican Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Mar 20, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"IN-04 Republican Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 3 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"IN-04 Republican Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 85% ile "Jim Baird"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 85% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 21% ile "Craig Haggard"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"IN-04 Republican Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.