In the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by 7 percentage points—40% to 33%, with Rep. Robin Kelly at 18%—has solidified trader consensus on the 6–9% margin outcome at 98.1%. Stratton's commanding performance stemmed from overwhelming Chicago support (nearly 2-to-1 edge), strong suburban and downstate turnout, and Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement, which overcame Krishnamoorthi's early polling leads and fundraising dominance from crypto and moderate PACs. With Krishnamoorthi conceding and over 94% of votes tabulated holding steady a month later, official certification by the state board of elections is pending; realistic challenges like provisional ballot shifts or audits appear improbable given the margin's stability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiStratton 6–9% 98.1%
Stratton 9%+ 2.4%
Stratton 3–6% 1.8%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%
$23,580 Hac.
$23,580 Hac.
17 Mar 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
<1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
<1%
Krishnamoorthi <3%
<1%
Stratton <3%
<1%
Stratton 3–6%
2%
Stratton 6–9%
98%
Stratton 9%+
2%
Other
1%
Stratton 6–9% 98.1%
Stratton 9%+ 2.4%
Stratton 3–6% 1.8%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ 1.0%
$23,580 Hac.
$23,580 Hac.
17 Mar 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
$3,787 Hac.
1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
$0 Hac.
<1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
$1,872 Hac.
<1%
Krishnamoorthi <3%
$0 Hac.
<1%
Stratton <3%
$3,360 Hac.
<1%
Stratton 3–6%
$5,109 Hac.
2%
Stratton 6–9%
$5,228 Hac.
98%
Stratton 9%+
$2,241 Hac.
2%
Other
$1,984 Hac.
1%
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.In the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by 7 percentage points—40% to 33%, with Rep. Robin Kelly at 18%—has solidified trader consensus on the 6–9% margin outcome at 98.1%. Stratton's commanding performance stemmed from overwhelming Chicago support (nearly 2-to-1 edge), strong suburban and downstate turnout, and Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement, which overcame Krishnamoorthi's early polling leads and fundraising dominance from crypto and moderate PACs. With Krishnamoorthi conceding and over 94% of votes tabulated holding steady a month later, official certification by the state board of elections is pending; realistic challenges like provisional ballot shifts or audits appear improbable given the margin's stability.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Hacim
$23,580Bitiş Tarihi
17 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.In the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by 7 percentage points—40% to 33%, with Rep. Robin Kelly at 18%—has solidified trader consensus on the 6–9% margin outcome at 98.1%. Stratton's commanding performance stemmed from overwhelming Chicago support (nearly 2-to-1 edge), strong suburban and downstate turnout, and Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement, which overcame Krishnamoorthi's early polling leads and fundraising dominance from crypto and moderate PACs. With Krishnamoorthi conceding and over 94% of votes tabulated holding steady a month later, official certification by the state board of elections is pending; realistic challenges like provisional ballot shifts or audits appear improbable given the margin's stability.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Hacim
$23,580Bitiş Tarihi
17 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory over Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by 7 percentage points—40% to 33%, with Rep. Robin Kelly at 18%—has solidified trader consensus on the 6–9% margin outcome at 98.1%. Stratton's commanding performance stemmed from overwhelming Chicago support (nearly 2-to-1 edge), strong suburban and downstate turnout, and Gov. JB Pritzker's endorsement, which overcame Krishnamoorthi's early polling leads and fundraising dominance from crypto and moderate PACs. With Krishnamoorthi conceding and over 94% of votes tabulated holding steady a month later, official certification by the state board of elections is pending; realistic challenges like provisional ballot shifts or audits appear improbable given the margin's stability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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