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Seçimler·ABD Seçimleri

Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı

Market icon
Seçimler·ABD Seçimleri

Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı

Tom Steyer 69.4%

Katie Porter 9.2%

Matt Mahan 9%

Steve Hilton 6.6%

Polymarket

$10,523,477 Hac.

Tom Steyer 69.4%

Katie Porter 9.2%

Matt Mahan 9%

Steve Hilton 6.6%

Polymarket

$10,523,477 Hac.

Tom Steyer

$2,860,992 Hac.

69%

Katie Porter

$727,043 Hac.

9%

Matt Mahan

$285,732 Hac.

9%

Steve Hilton

$894,960 Hac.

7%

Chad Bianco

$810,396 Hac.

3%

Xavier Becerra

$460,286 Hac.

2%

Kamala Harris

$272,835 Hac.

1%

Betty Yee

$208,806 Hac.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$169,128 Hac.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$144,541 Hac.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$339,539 Hac.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$206,727 Hac.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$582,814 Hac.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$363,876 Hac.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$200,858 Hac.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$227,290 Hac.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$270,428 Hac.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$286,161 Hac.

<1%

Butch Ware

$222,955 Hac.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$225,925 Hac.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$238,721 Hac.

<1%

Michael Younger

$296,842 Hac.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$226,992 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer's commanding trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability stems from his recent surge in polls following Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal from the 2026 California gubernatorial race last week, consolidating support in the crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. New surveys, including one released two days ago, show Steyer leading with Steve Hilton in second, boosted by the California Teachers Association's endorsement on April 14 and Steyer's self-funding capacity amid voter concerns over housing costs and affordability. Katie Porter and San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan trail as progressive alternatives, while Hilton represents Republican momentum in the open primary, though no candidate has secured party endorsement yet. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift dynamics in this closely watched contest.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Hacim
$10,523,477
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer's commanding trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability stems from his recent surge in polls following Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal from the 2026 California gubernatorial race last week, consolidating support in the crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. New surveys, including one released two days ago, show Steyer leading with Steve Hilton in second, boosted by the California Teachers Association's endorsement on April 14 and Steyer's self-funding capacity amid voter concerns over housing costs and affordability. Katie Porter and San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan trail as progressive alternatives, while Hilton represents Republican momentum in the open primary, though no candidate has secured party endorsement yet. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift dynamics in this closely watched contest.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Hacim
$10,523,477
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 23 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 69% ile "Tom Steyer", ardından 9% ile "Katie Porter" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 69¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 69% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" toplam $10.5 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Oct 9, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 23 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için mevcut favori 69% ile "Tom Steyer"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 69% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 9% ile "Katie Porter"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.