Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability that President Trump remains in office past April 30, driven by the complete absence of notable developments over the past 30 days—no impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, health crises, or 25th Amendment discussions. Republican majorities in the House and Senate make impeachment and two-thirds conviction highly improbable absent a seismic scandal, while the mere two-week window to April 30 leaves scant time for upheaval during his second term. Realistic wildcards include a sudden medical emergency, unexpected voluntary resignation announcement, or extraordinary bipartisan push for removal via cabinet vote or expedited legislative action.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$8,444,376 Hac.
$8,444,376 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Evet
$8,444,376 Hac.
$8,444,376 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability that President Trump remains in office past April 30, driven by the complete absence of notable developments over the past 30 days—no impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, health crises, or 25th Amendment discussions. Republican majorities in the House and Senate make impeachment and two-thirds conviction highly improbable absent a seismic scandal, while the mere two-week window to April 30 leaves scant time for upheaval during his second term. Realistic wildcards include a sudden medical emergency, unexpected voluntary resignation announcement, or extraordinary bipartisan push for removal via cabinet vote or expedited legislative action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Hacim
$8,444,376Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability that President Trump remains in office past April 30, driven by the complete absence of notable developments over the past 30 days—no impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, health crises, or 25th Amendment discussions. Republican majorities in the House and Senate make impeachment and two-thirds conviction highly improbable absent a seismic scandal, while the mere two-week window to April 30 leaves scant time for upheaval during his second term. Realistic wildcards include a sudden medical emergency, unexpected voluntary resignation announcement, or extraordinary bipartisan push for removal via cabinet vote or expedited legislative action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$8,444,378Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability that President Trump remains in office past April 30, driven by the complete absence of notable developments over the past 30 days—no impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, health crises, or 25th Amendment discussions. Republican majorities in the House and Senate make impeachment and two-thirds conviction highly improbable absent a seismic scandal, while the mere two-week window to April 30 leaves scant time for upheaval during his second term. Realistic wildcards include a sudden medical emergency, unexpected voluntary resignation announcement, or extraordinary bipartisan push for removal via cabinet vote or expedited legislative action.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular