The US-Israel-Iran conflict, sparked by joint airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iran's nuclear sites and killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active in its seventh week despite a tenuous two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8. US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports, coupled with Iran's naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz, sustains escalation risks, while Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon test the truce. As of April 15, diplomats are advancing groundwork for renewed US-Iran talks, potentially extending to a 45-day ceasefire amid Senate debates over war authorization. These diplomatic signals and military posturing drive trader consensus on prolonged hostilities, with late-breaking negotiations or proxy flare-ups poised to shift resolution timelines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$42,017,540 Hac.
7 Nis 2026
7 Nisan
86%
15 Nisan
86%
30 Nisan
89%
15 Mayıs
93%
30 Haziran
96%
31 Aralık
97%
$42,017,540 Hac.
7 Nisan
$15,155,881 Hac.
86%
15 Nisan
$8,944,785 Hac.
86%
30 Nisan
$3,828,767 Hac.
89%
15 Mayıs
$3,407,739 Hac.
93%
30 Haziran
$2,832,609 Hac.
96%
31 Aralık
$2,686,007 Hac.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel-Iran conflict, sparked by joint airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iran's nuclear sites and killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active in its seventh week despite a tenuous two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8. US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports, coupled with Iran's naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz, sustains escalation risks, while Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon test the truce. As of April 15, diplomats are advancing groundwork for renewed US-Iran talks, potentially extending to a 45-day ceasefire amid Senate debates over war authorization. These diplomatic signals and military posturing drive trader consensus on prolonged hostilities, with late-breaking negotiations or proxy flare-ups poised to shift resolution timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
Hacim
$42,017,540Bitiş Tarihi
31 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel-Iran conflict, sparked by joint airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iran's nuclear sites and killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active in its seventh week despite a tenuous two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8. US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports, coupled with Iran's naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz, sustains escalation risks, while Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon test the truce. As of April 15, diplomats are advancing groundwork for renewed US-Iran talks, potentially extending to a 45-day ceasefire amid Senate debates over war authorization. These diplomatic signals and military posturing drive trader consensus on prolonged hostilities, with late-breaking negotiations or proxy flare-ups poised to shift resolution timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Hacim
$42,017,540Bitiş Tarihi
31 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US-Israel-Iran conflict, sparked by joint airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iran's nuclear sites and killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active in its seventh week despite a tenuous two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8. US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports, coupled with Iran's naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz, sustains escalation risks, while Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon test the truce. As of April 15, diplomats are advancing groundwork for renewed US-Iran talks, potentially extending to a 45-day ceasefire amid Senate debates over war authorization. These diplomatic signals and military posturing drive trader consensus on prolonged hostilities, with late-breaking negotiations or proxy flare-ups poised to shift resolution timelines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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