High-stakes U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, with Iran rejecting Washington's proposal for a 20-year suspension of uranium enrichment and other nuclear activities, as confirmed by Vice President JD Vance. This impasse, amid a fragile ceasefire expiring around April 21 and U.S. threats of economic blockades on the Strait of Hormuz, has solidified trader consensus at 63% for "No" deal by April 30, reflecting deep gaps on non-proliferation commitments and limited time for a second round despite mediator efforts from Pakistan and others. Ongoing diplomatic signals remain mixed, with escalation risks outweighing breakthrough prospects in the near term.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Nisan'a kadar ABD - İran nükleer anlaşması?
30 Nisan'a kadar ABD - İran nükleer anlaşması?
Evet
$1,199,961 Hac.
$1,199,961 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Evet
$1,199,961 Hac.
$1,199,961 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.High-stakes U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, with Iran rejecting Washington's proposal for a 20-year suspension of uranium enrichment and other nuclear activities, as confirmed by Vice President JD Vance. This impasse, amid a fragile ceasefire expiring around April 21 and U.S. threats of economic blockades on the Strait of Hormuz, has solidified trader consensus at 63% for "No" deal by April 30, reflecting deep gaps on non-proliferation commitments and limited time for a second round despite mediator efforts from Pakistan and others. Ongoing diplomatic signals remain mixed, with escalation risks outweighing breakthrough prospects in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Hacim
$1,199,961Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.High-stakes U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, with Iran rejecting Washington's proposal for a 20-year suspension of uranium enrichment and other nuclear activities, as confirmed by Vice President JD Vance. This impasse, amid a fragile ceasefire expiring around April 21 and U.S. threats of economic blockades on the Strait of Hormuz, has solidified trader consensus at 63% for "No" deal by April 30, reflecting deep gaps on non-proliferation commitments and limited time for a second round despite mediator efforts from Pakistan and others. Ongoing diplomatic signals remain mixed, with escalation risks outweighing breakthrough prospects in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Hacim
$1,199,968Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High-stakes U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, with Iran rejecting Washington's proposal for a 20-year suspension of uranium enrichment and other nuclear activities, as confirmed by Vice President JD Vance. This impasse, amid a fragile ceasefire expiring around April 21 and U.S. threats of economic blockades on the Strait of Hormuz, has solidified trader consensus at 63% for "No" deal by April 30, reflecting deep gaps on non-proliferation commitments and limited time for a second round despite mediator efforts from Pakistan and others. Ongoing diplomatic signals remain mixed, with escalation risks outweighing breakthrough prospects in the near term.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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