Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad over the weekend advanced discussions on curbing Iran's uranium enrichment, with the U.S. proposing a 20-year moratorium and Iran countering with a five-year suspension offer, promptly rejected by the White House. Pakistani sources reported a major breakthrough on the nuclear program just hours ago, fueling trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for an agreement by June 30 amid ceasefire talks and sanctions relief incentives. Despite the deadlock on timelines, optimism persists for a second round of talks, though IAEA monitoring demands and Iran's insistence on enrichment rights for peaceful purposes remain key hurdles in these high-stakes diplomacy efforts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİran, uranyum zenginleştirmeyi 30 Haziran'a kadar sonlandırmayı kabul ediyor mu?
İran, uranyum zenginleştirmeyi 30 Haziran'a kadar sonlandırmayı kabul ediyor mu?
Evet
$437,123 Hac.
$437,123 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$437,123 Hac.
$437,123 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad over the weekend advanced discussions on curbing Iran's uranium enrichment, with the U.S. proposing a 20-year moratorium and Iran countering with a five-year suspension offer, promptly rejected by the White House. Pakistani sources reported a major breakthrough on the nuclear program just hours ago, fueling trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for an agreement by June 30 amid ceasefire talks and sanctions relief incentives. Despite the deadlock on timelines, optimism persists for a second round of talks, though IAEA monitoring demands and Iran's insistence on enrichment rights for peaceful purposes remain key hurdles in these high-stakes diplomacy efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Hacim
$437,123Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad over the weekend advanced discussions on curbing Iran's uranium enrichment, with the U.S. proposing a 20-year moratorium and Iran countering with a five-year suspension offer, promptly rejected by the White House. Pakistani sources reported a major breakthrough on the nuclear program just hours ago, fueling trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for an agreement by June 30 amid ceasefire talks and sanctions relief incentives. Despite the deadlock on timelines, optimism persists for a second round of talks, though IAEA monitoring demands and Iran's insistence on enrichment rights for peaceful purposes remain key hurdles in these high-stakes diplomacy efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$437,123Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan in Islamabad over the weekend advanced discussions on curbing Iran's uranium enrichment, with the U.S. proposing a 20-year moratorium and Iran countering with a five-year suspension offer, promptly rejected by the White House. Pakistani sources reported a major breakthrough on the nuclear program just hours ago, fueling trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for an agreement by June 30 amid ceasefire talks and sanctions relief incentives. Despite the deadlock on timelines, optimism persists for a second round of talks, though IAEA monitoring demands and Iran's insistence on enrichment rights for peaceful purposes remain key hurdles in these high-stakes diplomacy efforts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular