Trader consensus favors "No" at 64% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by persistent deadlock in indirect US-Iran nuclear talks mediated by Oman. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without deals, as the US demands a 20-year suspension while Iran offers only five years or zero stockpiling with IAEA-monitored downgrading—proposals rejected amid the Hormuz blockade and ceasefire pressures. IAEA's February report highlighted Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium at hidden Isfahan sites and denied inspector access, underscoring non-compliance risks. With no new talks scheduled and President Trump insisting on zero enrichment, traders see slim odds of resolution before the deadline despite Russia's mediation overtures.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİran, uranyum zenginleştirmeyi 30 Nisan'a kadar sonlandırmayı kabul ediyor mu?
İran, uranyum zenginleştirmeyi 30 Nisan'a kadar sonlandırmayı kabul ediyor mu?
Evet
$1,008,225 Hac.
$1,008,225 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Evet
$1,008,225 Hac.
$1,008,225 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus favors "No" at 64% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by persistent deadlock in indirect US-Iran nuclear talks mediated by Oman. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without deals, as the US demands a 20-year suspension while Iran offers only five years or zero stockpiling with IAEA-monitored downgrading—proposals rejected amid the Hormuz blockade and ceasefire pressures. IAEA's February report highlighted Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium at hidden Isfahan sites and denied inspector access, underscoring non-compliance risks. With no new talks scheduled and President Trump insisting on zero enrichment, traders see slim odds of resolution before the deadline despite Russia's mediation overtures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Hacim
$1,008,225Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus favors "No" at 64% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by persistent deadlock in indirect US-Iran nuclear talks mediated by Oman. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without deals, as the US demands a 20-year suspension while Iran offers only five years or zero stockpiling with IAEA-monitored downgrading—proposals rejected amid the Hormuz blockade and ceasefire pressures. IAEA's February report highlighted Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium at hidden Isfahan sites and denied inspector access, underscoring non-compliance risks. With no new talks scheduled and President Trump insisting on zero enrichment, traders see slim odds of resolution before the deadline despite Russia's mediation overtures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$1,008,241Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 64% on Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by persistent deadlock in indirect US-Iran nuclear talks mediated by Oman. Recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva collapsed without deals, as the US demands a 20-year suspension while Iran offers only five years or zero stockpiling with IAEA-monitored downgrading—proposals rejected amid the Hormuz blockade and ceasefire pressures. IAEA's February report highlighted Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium at hidden Isfahan sites and denied inspector access, underscoring non-compliance risks. With no new talks scheduled and President Trump insisting on zero enrichment, traders see slim odds of resolution before the deadline despite Russia's mediation overtures.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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