Israel and Lebanon held rare direct talks in Washington on April 15, mediated by the U.S., where Israel demanded Hezbollah's disarmament and explicitly rejected ceasefire discussions with the group, while Lebanon pushed for an end to hostilities. Cross-border exchanges continue unabated, with Israeli airstrikes targeting southern Lebanon and Hezbollah firing rockets into northern Israel, following a U.S.-brokered Iran ceasefire on April 8 that Israeli officials insist excludes Hezbollah. The 2026 Lebanon war, resumed March 2, shows no de-escalation signals, as Netanyahu vows sustained operations against Hezbollah. Traders eye upcoming negotiation rounds, potential ground advances, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid persistent military actions and U.S. pressure for broader regional calm.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail x Hizbullah ateşkesi...?
İsrail x Hizbullah ateşkesi...?
$11,734,574 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
30 Nisan
68%
30 Haziran
84%
$11,734,574 Hac.
30 Nisan
$3,118,727 Hac.
68%
30 Haziran
$417,512 Hac.
84%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Israel and Lebanon held rare direct talks in Washington on April 15, mediated by the U.S., where Israel demanded Hezbollah's disarmament and explicitly rejected ceasefire discussions with the group, while Lebanon pushed for an end to hostilities. Cross-border exchanges continue unabated, with Israeli airstrikes targeting southern Lebanon and Hezbollah firing rockets into northern Israel, following a U.S.-brokered Iran ceasefire on April 8 that Israeli officials insist excludes Hezbollah. The 2026 Lebanon war, resumed March 2, shows no de-escalation signals, as Netanyahu vows sustained operations against Hezbollah. Traders eye upcoming negotiation rounds, potential ground advances, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid persistent military actions and U.S. pressure for broader regional calm.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Hacim
$11,734,574Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Israel and Lebanon held rare direct talks in Washington on April 15, mediated by the U.S., where Israel demanded Hezbollah's disarmament and explicitly rejected ceasefire discussions with the group, while Lebanon pushed for an end to hostilities. Cross-border exchanges continue unabated, with Israeli airstrikes targeting southern Lebanon and Hezbollah firing rockets into northern Israel, following a U.S.-brokered Iran ceasefire on April 8 that Israeli officials insist excludes Hezbollah. The 2026 Lebanon war, resumed March 2, shows no de-escalation signals, as Netanyahu vows sustained operations against Hezbollah. Traders eye upcoming negotiation rounds, potential ground advances, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid persistent military actions and U.S. pressure for broader regional calm.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Hacim
$11,734,574Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel and Lebanon held rare direct talks in Washington on April 15, mediated by the U.S., where Israel demanded Hezbollah's disarmament and explicitly rejected ceasefire discussions with the group, while Lebanon pushed for an end to hostilities. Cross-border exchanges continue unabated, with Israeli airstrikes targeting southern Lebanon and Hezbollah firing rockets into northern Israel, following a U.S.-brokered Iran ceasefire on April 8 that Israeli officials insist excludes Hezbollah. The 2026 Lebanon war, resumed March 2, shows no de-escalation signals, as Netanyahu vows sustained operations against Hezbollah. Traders eye upcoming negotiation rounds, potential ground advances, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid persistent military actions and U.S. pressure for broader regional calm.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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