President Trump's recent signals that U.S. military operations against Iran are "very close" to ending, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed in early April following February airstrikes that targeted Iran's leadership and missile capabilities, have shaped trader consensus on Polymarket, pricing an 83% chance of an announcement by June 30. The Senate's 52-47 vote yesterday blocking Democratic efforts to require congressional approval for strikes reinforces executive flexibility, while failed Islamabad talks and an ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade heighten de-escalation pressures. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's rejection of a full ceasefire and warnings of resumed action underscore risks, with diplomatic negotiations or fresh intelligence from the pause potentially tipping toward resolution or escalation before summer deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$26,673,938 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
21 Nisan
19%
30 Nisan
40%
31 Mayıs
70%
30 Haziran
83%
$26,673,938 Hac.
21 Nisan
$1,145,116 Hac.
19%
30 Nisan
$5,255,372 Hac.
40%
31 Mayıs
$342,650 Hac.
70%
30 Haziran
$1,929,735 Hac.
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent signals that U.S. military operations against Iran are "very close" to ending, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed in early April following February airstrikes that targeted Iran's leadership and missile capabilities, have shaped trader consensus on Polymarket, pricing an 83% chance of an announcement by June 30. The Senate's 52-47 vote yesterday blocking Democratic efforts to require congressional approval for strikes reinforces executive flexibility, while failed Islamabad talks and an ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade heighten de-escalation pressures. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's rejection of a full ceasefire and warnings of resumed action underscore risks, with diplomatic negotiations or fresh intelligence from the pause potentially tipping toward resolution or escalation before summer deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Hacim
$26,673,938Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent signals that U.S. military operations against Iran are "very close" to ending, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed in early April following February airstrikes that targeted Iran's leadership and missile capabilities, have shaped trader consensus on Polymarket, pricing an 83% chance of an announcement by June 30. The Senate's 52-47 vote yesterday blocking Democratic efforts to require congressional approval for strikes reinforces executive flexibility, while failed Islamabad talks and an ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade heighten de-escalation pressures. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's rejection of a full ceasefire and warnings of resumed action underscore risks, with diplomatic negotiations or fresh intelligence from the pause potentially tipping toward resolution or escalation before summer deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$26,673,938Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent signals that U.S. military operations against Iran are "very close" to ending, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed in early April following February airstrikes that targeted Iran's leadership and missile capabilities, have shaped trader consensus on Polymarket, pricing an 83% chance of an announcement by June 30. The Senate's 52-47 vote yesterday blocking Democratic efforts to require congressional approval for strikes reinforces executive flexibility, while failed Islamabad talks and an ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade heighten de-escalation pressures. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's rejection of a full ceasefire and warnings of resumed action underscore risks, with diplomatic negotiations or fresh intelligence from the pause potentially tipping toward resolution or escalation before summer deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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