Trader consensus prices "No" at 56% for any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting no such actions amid ongoing Middle East tensions despite diplomatic frictions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's top envoy—its highest-ranking diplomat absent a full ambassador—as persona non grata prompted Israeli retaliation but fell short of ambassador-level expulsion. Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador, citing Israeli "insults" over Gaza and opposition to US-Israeli strikes on Iran that killed senior officials like Ali Larijani, further strained ties without reciprocal ambassador ousters. Absent fresh catalysts like escalation in Lebanon or Iran proxy actions in the past month, traders weigh historical patterns of summons over severances, though late-year volatility from summits or military developments could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
$19,418 Hac.
$19,418 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
$19,418 Hac.
$19,418 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 56% for any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting no such actions amid ongoing Middle East tensions despite diplomatic frictions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's top envoy—its highest-ranking diplomat absent a full ambassador—as persona non grata prompted Israeli retaliation but fell short of ambassador-level expulsion. Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador, citing Israeli "insults" over Gaza and opposition to US-Israeli strikes on Iran that killed senior officials like Ali Larijani, further strained ties without reciprocal ambassador ousters. Absent fresh catalysts like escalation in Lebanon or Iran proxy actions in the past month, traders weigh historical patterns of summons over severances, though late-year volatility from summits or military developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Hacim
$19,418Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 56% for any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting no such actions amid ongoing Middle East tensions despite diplomatic frictions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's top envoy—its highest-ranking diplomat absent a full ambassador—as persona non grata prompted Israeli retaliation but fell short of ambassador-level expulsion. Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador, citing Israeli "insults" over Gaza and opposition to US-Israeli strikes on Iran that killed senior officials like Ali Larijani, further strained ties without reciprocal ambassador ousters. Absent fresh catalysts like escalation in Lebanon or Iran proxy actions in the past month, traders weigh historical patterns of summons over severances, though late-year volatility from summits or military developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$19,418Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 56% for any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting no such actions amid ongoing Middle East tensions despite diplomatic frictions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's top envoy—its highest-ranking diplomat absent a full ambassador—as persona non grata prompted Israeli retaliation but fell short of ambassador-level expulsion. Spain's March 11 permanent withdrawal of its own ambassador, citing Israeli "insults" over Gaza and opposition to US-Israeli strikes on Iran that killed senior officials like Ali Larijani, further strained ties without reciprocal ambassador ousters. Absent fresh catalysts like escalation in Lebanon or Iran proxy actions in the past month, traders weigh historical patterns of summons over severances, though late-year volatility from summits or military developments could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular