US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, initiated February 28 targeting nuclear sites, military infrastructure, and leadership, have inflicted severe damage including over 90% reduction in Iran's missile and drone production capacity per CENTCOM reports, prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel and Gulf allies alongside Strait of Hormuz closure. A fragile two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan holds on the direct front since April 8 but faces strain from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 13 following failed Islamabad talks, with Trump signaling no extension absent a nuclear deal. Ongoing IDF operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, depleted US munitions stocks prompting Pentagon outreach to automakers for production, and Pakistan-mediated diplomacy amid Iranian retaliation threats underscore persistent escalation risks ahead of the April 22 truce expiry.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİran'a karşı askeri eylem... ile sona eriyor mu?
İran'a karşı askeri eylem... ile sona eriyor mu?
$29,859,885 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
17 Nisan
100%
$29,859,885 Hac.
17 Nisan
$26,835,828 Hac.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, initiated February 28 targeting nuclear sites, military infrastructure, and leadership, have inflicted severe damage including over 90% reduction in Iran's missile and drone production capacity per CENTCOM reports, prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel and Gulf allies alongside Strait of Hormuz closure. A fragile two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan holds on the direct front since April 8 but faces strain from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 13 following failed Islamabad talks, with Trump signaling no extension absent a nuclear deal. Ongoing IDF operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, depleted US munitions stocks prompting Pentagon outreach to automakers for production, and Pakistan-mediated diplomacy amid Iranian retaliation threats underscore persistent escalation risks ahead of the April 22 truce expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Hacim
$29,859,885Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Son inceleme
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, initiated February 28 targeting nuclear sites, military infrastructure, and leadership, have inflicted severe damage including over 90% reduction in Iran's missile and drone production capacity per CENTCOM reports, prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel and Gulf allies alongside Strait of Hormuz closure. A fragile two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan holds on the direct front since April 8 but faces strain from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 13 following failed Islamabad talks, with Trump signaling no extension absent a nuclear deal. Ongoing IDF operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, depleted US munitions stocks prompting Pentagon outreach to automakers for production, and Pakistan-mediated diplomacy amid Iranian retaliation threats underscore persistent escalation risks ahead of the April 22 truce expiry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$29,859,885Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Son inceleme
US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, initiated February 28 targeting nuclear sites, military infrastructure, and leadership, have inflicted severe damage including over 90% reduction in Iran's missile and drone production capacity per CENTCOM reports, prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel and Gulf allies alongside Strait of Hormuz closure. A fragile two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan holds on the direct front since April 8 but faces strain from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 13 following failed Islamabad talks, with Trump signaling no extension absent a nuclear deal. Ongoing IDF operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, depleted US munitions stocks prompting Pentagon outreach to automakers for production, and Pakistan-mediated diplomacy amid Iranian retaliation threats underscore persistent escalation risks ahead of the April 22 truce expiry.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular