The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$13,515 Hac.
$13,515 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
$13,515 Hac.
$13,515 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Hacim
$13,515Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Hacim
$13,515Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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