A fragile two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and brokered by Pakistan, holds between the United States and Iran following extensive US-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 under Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion, targeting Iranian nuclear sites, military leadership, and infrastructure amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Recent US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports—fully implemented as of April 15 after failed Islamabad talks—signals ongoing military pressure, with destroyers transiting the strait and intercepting toll-paying vessels. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, struck by Iranian missiles, urge escalation and provide basing but have not joined direct action. Ceasefire expiry around April 21 and pending Israel-Lebanon talks heighten risks of renewed airstrikes or broader coalition involvement by April 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Nisan'a kadar İran'a karşı hangi ülkeler askeri harekat yapacak?
30 Nisan'a kadar İran'a karşı hangi ülkeler askeri harekat yapacak?
$2,748,570 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
BAE
8%
Suudi Arabistan
6%
Kuveyt
3%
Katar
2%
Türkiye
2%
Bahreyn
2%
Birleşik Krallık
2%
Ürdün
1%
Umman
1%
Herhangi bir AB Ülkesi
1%
Almanya
1%
Kanada
<1%
Fransa
<1%
$2,748,570 Hac.
BAE
$1,331,546 Hac.
8%
Suudi Arabistan
$509,921 Hac.
6%
Kuveyt
$115,149 Hac.
3%
Katar
$27,577 Hac.
2%
Türkiye
$68,982 Hac.
2%
Bahreyn
$45,099 Hac.
2%
Birleşik Krallık
$220,823 Hac.
2%
Ürdün
$19,699 Hac.
1%
Umman
$30,114 Hac.
1%
Herhangi bir AB Ülkesi
$44,723 Hac.
1%
Almanya
$120,111 Hac.
1%
Kanada
$39,857 Hac.
<1%
Fransa
$174,968 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A fragile two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and brokered by Pakistan, holds between the United States and Iran following extensive US-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 under Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion, targeting Iranian nuclear sites, military leadership, and infrastructure amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Recent US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports—fully implemented as of April 15 after failed Islamabad talks—signals ongoing military pressure, with destroyers transiting the strait and intercepting toll-paying vessels. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, struck by Iranian missiles, urge escalation and provide basing but have not joined direct action. Ceasefire expiry around April 21 and pending Israel-Lebanon talks heighten risks of renewed airstrikes or broader coalition involvement by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Hacim
$2,748,570Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A fragile two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and brokered by Pakistan, holds between the United States and Iran following extensive US-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 under Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion, targeting Iranian nuclear sites, military leadership, and infrastructure amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Recent US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports—fully implemented as of April 15 after failed Islamabad talks—signals ongoing military pressure, with destroyers transiting the strait and intercepting toll-paying vessels. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, struck by Iranian missiles, urge escalation and provide basing but have not joined direct action. Ceasefire expiry around April 21 and pending Israel-Lebanon talks heighten risks of renewed airstrikes or broader coalition involvement by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$2,748,570Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and brokered by Pakistan, holds between the United States and Iran following extensive US-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 under Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion, targeting Iranian nuclear sites, military leadership, and infrastructure amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Recent US enforcement of a naval blockade on Iranian ports—fully implemented as of April 15 after failed Islamabad talks—signals ongoing military pressure, with destroyers transiting the strait and intercepting toll-paying vessels. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, struck by Iranian missiles, urge escalation and provide basing but have not joined direct action. Ceasefire expiry around April 21 and pending Israel-Lebanon talks heighten risks of renewed airstrikes or broader coalition involvement by April 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular