US-Israeli airstrikes continue targeting Iranian military infrastructure, including petrochemical facilities and oil sites struck in early April, amid Tehran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel—most recently a cluster munition attack on April 1 wounding civilians in central areas like Petah Tikva. A fragile ceasefire proposal collapsed after April 7 talks, with Israel linking de-escalation to Iran halting Strait of Hormuz disruptions challenged by the ongoing US naval blockade. Diplomatic efforts advanced April 14 with Israel-Lebanon direct negotiations, potentially easing proxy pressures from Hezbollah, though Iranian-backed militia drone strikes on Gulf states signal persistent escalation risks through late April policy deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail'in İran'a karşı askeri harekatı...?
İsrail'in İran'a karşı askeri harekatı...?
$1,566,878 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
14 Nisan
1%
21 Nisan
12%
$1,566,878 Hac.
14 Nisan
$1,119,800 Hac.
1%
21 Nisan
$447,078 Hac.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US-Israeli airstrikes continue targeting Iranian military infrastructure, including petrochemical facilities and oil sites struck in early April, amid Tehran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel—most recently a cluster munition attack on April 1 wounding civilians in central areas like Petah Tikva. A fragile ceasefire proposal collapsed after April 7 talks, with Israel linking de-escalation to Iran halting Strait of Hormuz disruptions challenged by the ongoing US naval blockade. Diplomatic efforts advanced April 14 with Israel-Lebanon direct negotiations, potentially easing proxy pressures from Hezbollah, though Iranian-backed militia drone strikes on Gulf states signal persistent escalation risks through late April policy deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
Hacim
$1,566,878Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.US-Israeli airstrikes continue targeting Iranian military infrastructure, including petrochemical facilities and oil sites struck in early April, amid Tehran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel—most recently a cluster munition attack on April 1 wounding civilians in central areas like Petah Tikva. A fragile ceasefire proposal collapsed after April 7 talks, with Israel linking de-escalation to Iran halting Strait of Hormuz disruptions challenged by the ongoing US naval blockade. Diplomatic efforts advanced April 14 with Israel-Lebanon direct negotiations, potentially easing proxy pressures from Hezbollah, though Iranian-backed militia drone strikes on Gulf states signal persistent escalation risks through late April policy deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Hacim
$1,566,878Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israeli airstrikes continue targeting Iranian military infrastructure, including petrochemical facilities and oil sites struck in early April, amid Tehran's retaliatory missile barrages on Israel—most recently a cluster munition attack on April 1 wounding civilians in central areas like Petah Tikva. A fragile ceasefire proposal collapsed after April 7 talks, with Israel linking de-escalation to Iran halting Strait of Hormuz disruptions challenged by the ongoing US naval blockade. Diplomatic efforts advanced April 14 with Israel-Lebanon direct negotiations, potentially easing proxy pressures from Hezbollah, though Iranian-backed militia drone strikes on Gulf states signal persistent escalation risks through late April policy deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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